zerkrazus

000 WTNT32 KNHC 022040 TCPAT2

BULLETIN Hurricane Beryl Advisory Number 17 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024 500 PM EDT Tue Jul 02 2024

...EYE OF BERYL MOVING QUICKLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO THE SOUTH OF HISPANIOLA... ...EXPECTED TO BRING LIFE-THREATENING WINDS AND STORM SURGE TO JAMAICA ON WEDNESDAY AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION

LOCATION...15.9N 70.8W ABOUT 125 MI...205 KM SSE OF ISLA BEATA DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ABOUT 420 MI...680 KM ESE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH...250 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...943 MB...27.85 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...

• Jamaica
• Grand Cayman
• Little Cayman and Cayman Brac

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...

• South coast of Haiti from the border with the Dominican Republic to Anse d'Hainault

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...

• South coast of Dominican Republic from Punta Palenque westward to the border with Haiti
• South coast of Haiti from the border with the Dominican Republic to Anse d'Hainault

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous.

Interests elsewhere in the northwestern Caribbean, including the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico and Belize, should closely monitor the progress of Beryl. Additional watches or warnings will be required tonight or on Wednesday.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK

At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Beryl was located near latitude 15.9 North, longitude 70.8 West. Beryl is moving toward the west-northwest near 22 mph (35 km/h), and this general motion should continue through Wednesday, followed by a turn more toward the west Wednesday night or Thursday. On the forecast track, the center of Beryl will move quickly across the central Caribbean Sea tonight and is forecast to pass near or over Jamaica on Wednesday. The center is expected to pass near or over the Cayman Islands Wednesday night or early Thursday and approach the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico Thursday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 155 mph (250 km/h) with higher gusts. Beryl is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Weakening is forecast during the next day or two. However, Beryl is forecast to be at or near major hurricane intensity while it passes near Jamaica on Wednesday and the Cayman Islands on Wednesday night. Additional weakening is expected thereafter, though Beryl is forecast to remain a hurricane in the northwestern Caribbean.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 40 miles (65 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 943 mb (27.85 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Key messages for Beryl can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC.

WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected to reach the coast of Jamaica within the warning area on Wednesday. Winds are expected to first reach tropical storm strength early on Wednesday, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous.

Hurricane conditions are expected to reach the Cayman Islands Wednesday night or early Thursday. Winds are expected to first reach tropical storm strength on Wednesday, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous.

Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area along the south coast of Hispaniola this afternoon and tonight.

STORM SURGE: Storm surge could raise water levels by as much as 5 to 8 feet above normal tide levels in areas of onshore winds along the immediate coast of Jamaica.

Storm surge could raise water levels by as much as 2 to 4 feet above normal tide levels in areas of onshore winds along the immediate coast of the Cayman Islands.

Storm surge could raise water levels by as much as 1 to 3 feet above ground level in areas of onshore winds along the southern coast of Hispaniola.

Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.

RAINFALL: Hurricane Beryl is expected to produce rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches, with localized maxima of 12 inches, across Jamaica and southwestern Haitian Peninsula through late Wednesday. Beryl will also produce rainfall amounts of 4 to 8 inches with isolated amounts of 10 inches across Barahona Peninsula in southwest Dominican Republic. Isolated totals of 6 inches or more are also anticipated across the mountainous terrain in the central Dominican Republic. This rainfall is likely to cause flash flooding and mudslides. Beryl is also expected to produce rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches with localized maxima of 6 inches over the Cayman Islands Wednesday into Thursday.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding associated with Hurricane Beryl, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf

SURF: Large swells generated by Beryl will continue across the Windward and southern Leeward Islands during the next day or so. Swells will impact the southern coasts of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola, and begin affecting Jamaica and the Cayman Islands through midweek. These swells are expected to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY

Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM EDT. Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT.

$$ Forecaster Beven

000 WTNT32 KNHC 021440 TCPAT2

BULLETIN Hurricane Beryl Advisory Number 16 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024 1100 AM AST Tue Jul 02 2024

...BERYL CONTINUES MOVING QUICKLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA... ...EXPECTED TO BRING LIFE-THREATENING WINDS AND STORM SURGE TO JAMAICA ON WEDNESDAY...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION

LOCATION...15.3N 68.9W ABOUT 235 MI...375 KM SE OF ISLA BEATA DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ABOUT 555 MI...895 KM ESE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...160 MPH...260 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...938 MB...27.70 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

A Hurricane Watch is now in effect for the south coast of Haiti from the border with the Dominican Republic to Anse d'Hainault.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...

• Jamaica

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...

• South coast of Haiti from the border with the Dominican Republic to Anse d'Hainault
• Grand Cayman
• Little Cayman and Cayman Brac

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...

• South coast of Dominican Republic from Punta Palenque westward to the border with Haiti
• South coast of Haiti from the border with the Dominican Republic to Anse d'Hainault

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous.

Interests elsewhere in the northwestern Caribbean, including the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico, should closely monitor the progress of Beryl. Additional watches or warnings will be required later today.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK

At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Beryl was located near latitude 15.3 North, longitude 68.9 West. Beryl is moving toward the west-northwest near 22 mph (35 km/h), and this general motion should continue through Wednesday, followed by a turn more toward the west on Thursday. On the forecast track, the center of Beryl will move quickly across the central Caribbean Sea today and is forecast to pass near Jamaica on Wednesday and the Cayman Islands on Thursday. The center is forecast to approach the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico on Thursday night.

Reports from Air Force Reserve and NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds are near 160 mph (260 km/h) with higher gusts. Beryl is a category 5 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Weakening is forecast later today, but Beryl is still expected to be near major hurricane intensity as it moves into the central Caribbean and passes near Jamaica on Wednesday and the Cayman Islands on Thursday. Additional weakening is expected thereafter, though Beryl is forecast to remain a hurricane in the northwestern Caribbean.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 40 miles (65 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km).

The latest minimum central pressure estimated from the Hurricane Hunter aircraft data is 938 mb (27.70 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Key messages for Beryl can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC.

WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected to reach the coast of Jamaica within the warning area on Wednesday. Winds are expected to first reach tropical storm strength early on Wednesday, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous.

Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area along the south coast of Hispaniola later today.

Hurricane conditions could begin on Thursday across the Cayman Islands.

STORM SURGE: Storm surge could raise water levels by as much as 5 to 8 feet above normal tide levels in areas of onshore winds along the immediate coast of Jamaica.

Storm surge could raise water levels by as much as 2 to 4 feet above normal tide levels in areas of onshore winds along the immediate coast of the Cayman Islands.

Storm surge could raise water levels by as much as 1 to 3 feet above ground level in areas of onshore winds along the southern coast of Hispaniola.

Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.

RAINFALL: Hurricane Beryl is expected to produce rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches, with localized maxima of 12 inches, across Jamaica and the southwestern Haitian Peninsula through late Wednesday. Beryl will also produce rainfall amounts of 4 to 8 inches with isolated amounts of 10 inches across the Barahona Peninsula in southwest Dominican Republic. Isolated totals of 6 inches or more are also anticipated across the mountainous terrain in the central Dominican Republic. This rainfall is likely to cause flash flooding and mudslides.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding associated with Hurricane Beryl, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf

SURF: Large swells generated by Beryl will continue across the Windward and southern Leeward Islands during the next day or so. Swells are expected to reach the southern coasts of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola later today. These swells are expected to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY

Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM AST. Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$ Forecaster Beven

000 WTNT32 KNHC 021149 TCPAT2

BULLETIN Hurricane Beryl Intermediate Advisory Number 15A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024 800 AM AST Tue Jul 02 2024

...BERYL EXPECTED TO BRING LIFE-THREATENING WINDS AND STORM SURGE TO JAMAICA ON WEDNESDAY... ...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORT LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS...

SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION

LOCATION...15.0N 67.9W ABOUT 300 MI...485 KM SE OF ISLA BEATA DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ABOUT 625 MI...1005 KM ESE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...165 MPH...270 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...934 MB...27.58 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...

• Jamaica

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...

• Grand Cayman
• Little Cayman and Cayman Brac

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...

• South coast of Dominican Republic from Punta Palenque westward to the border with Haiti
• South coast of Haiti from the border with the Dominican Republic to Anse d'Hainault

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous.

Interests elsewhere in the northwestern Caribbean should closely monitor the progress of Beryl. Additional watches or warnings may be required later today.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK

At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Beryl was located near latitude 15.0 North, longitude 67.9 West. Beryl is moving toward the west-northwest near 22 mph (35 km/h) and is forecast to continue moving rapidly west-northwestward during the next couple of days and turn westward by Thursday. On the forecast track, the center of Beryl will move quickly across the southeastern and central Caribbean Sea today and is forecast to pass near Jamaica on Wednesday and the Cayman Islands on Thursday.

Reports from NOAA and Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds remain near 165 mph (270 km/h) with higher gusts. Beryl is a category 5 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Weakening should begin later today, but Beryl is still expected to be near major hurricane intensity as it moves into the central Caribbean and passes near Jamaica on Wednesday and the Cayman Islands on Thursday.
Additional weakening is expected thereafter, though Beryl is forecast to remain a hurricane in the northwestern Caribbean.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 40 miles (65 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km). NOAA buoy 42059 to the north of the eye recently reported sustained winds of 72 mph (115 km/h) and a wind gust of
94 mph (151 km/h).

The minimum central pressure estimated from the Hurricane Hunter aircraft data is 934 mb (27.58 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Key messages for Beryl can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC.

WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected to reach the coast of Jamaica within the warning area on Wednesday. Winds are expected to first reach tropical storm strength early on Wednesday, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous.

Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area along the south coast of Hispaniola later today.

Hurricane conditions could begin on Thursday across the Cayman Islands.

STORM SURGE: Storm surge could raise water levels by as much as 4 to 6 feet above normal tide levels in areas of onshore winds along the immediate coast of Jamaica.

Storm surge could raise water levels by as much as 1 to 3 feet above normal tide levels in areas of onshore winds along the immediate coast of the Cayman Islands.

Storm surge could raise water levels by as much as 1 to 3 feet above ground level in areas of onshore winds along the southern coast of Hispaniola.

Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.

RAINFALL: Hurricane Beryl is expected to produce rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches, with localized maxima of 12 inches, across Jamaica on Wednesday. This rainfall is likely to cause flash flooding. Rainfall from outer bands of Beryl should impact mainly southern portions of Hispaniola today into Wednesday, with 2 to 6 inches of rain possible.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding associated with Hurricane Beryl, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf

SURF: Large swells generated by Beryl will continue across the Windward and southern Leeward Islands during the next couple of days. Swells are also expected to reach the southern coasts of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola later today. These swells are expected to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY

Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$ Forecaster Beven

005 WTNT32 KNHC 020248 TCPAT2

BULLETIN Hurricane Beryl Advisory Number 14 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024 1100 PM AST Mon Jul 01 2024

...BERYL BECOMES A POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE IN THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN... ...EXPECTED TO BRING LIFE-THREATENING WINDS AND STORM SURGE TO JAMAICA LATER THIS WEEK...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION

LOCATION...13.8N 64.9W ABOUT 510 MI...825 KM ESE OF ISLA BEATA DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ABOUT 840 MI...1355 KM ESE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...160 MPH...260 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...938 MB...27.70 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...

• Jamaica

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...

• South coast of Dominican Republic from Punta Palenque westward to the border with Haiti
• South coast of Haiti from the border with the Dominican Republic to Anse d'Hainault

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued 36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

Interests elsewhere in the the Cayman Islands, and the remainder of the northwestern Caribbean should closely monitor the progress of Beryl. Additional watches or warnings may be required on Tuesday.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK

At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Beryl was located near latitude 13.8 North, longitude 64.9 West. Beryl is moving toward the west-northwest near 22 mph (35 km/h). Beryl is forecast to continue moving rapidly west-northwestward during the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Beryl will move quickly across the southeastern and central Caribbean Sea tonight through Tuesday and is forecast to pass near Jamaica on Wednesday.

Recent data from the NOAA Hurricane Hunters indicates that the maximum sustained winds have increased to near 160 mph (260 km/h) with higher gusts. Beryl is now a potentially catastrophic category 5 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Fluctuations in strength are likely during the next day or so, but Beryl is expected to still be near major hurricane intensity as its moves into the central Caribbean and passes near Jamaica on Wednesday. Some more weakening is expected thereafter, though Beryl is forecast to remain a hurricane in the northwestern Caribbean.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 40 miles (65 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km).

The minimum central pressure recently measured by the NOAA Hurricane Hunter dropsonde data is 938 mb (27.70 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Key messages for Beryl can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC.

WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected to reach the coast on Jamaica within the warning area on Wednesday. Winds are expected to first reach tropical storm strength early on Wednesday, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous.

Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area along the south coast of Hispaniola by late Tuesday.

STORM SURGE: Storm surge could raise water levels by as much as 3 to 5 feet above normal tide levels in areas of onshore winds along the immediate coast of Jamaica.

Storm surge could raise water levels by as much as 1 to 3 feet above ground level in areas of onshore winds along the southern coast of Hispaniola.

RAINFALL: Hurricane Beryl is expected to produce rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches, with localized maxima of 12 inches, in portions of Jamaica on Wednesday. This rainfall may cause flash flooding in vulnerable areas. Rainfall from outer bands of Beryl may impact portions of Hispaniola Tuesday into Wednesday, with 2 to 6 inches of rain possible.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding associated with Hurricane Beryl, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf

SURF: Large swells generated by Beryl will continue across the Windward and southern Leeward Islands during the next couple of days. Swells are also expected to reach the southern coasts of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola late tonight into Tuesday. These swells are expected to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY

Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST. Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$ Forecaster Papin

000 WTNT62 KNHC 011649 TCUAT2

Hurricane Beryl Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024 100 PM AST Mon Jul 1 2024

...CATASTROPHIC WINDS AND LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE CONTINUE IN THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS...

Beryl continues to produce catastrophic winds and life-threatening storm surge to the Grenadine Islands, Carriacou Island, and Grenada. This is an extremely dangerous and life-threatening situation. Residents should not leave their shelter and remain in place through the passage of these life-threatening conditions.

A weather station at Grenada airport recently reported a sustained wind speed of 92 mph (148 km/h) and a gust of 121 mph (194 km/h).

A weather station in St. Lucia recently reported a sustained wind speed of 52 mph (83 km/h) and a gust of 63 mph (102 km/h).

This is the last hourly Tropical Cyclone Update on Beryl. The next intermediate advisory will be issued at 200 PM AST (1800 UTC).

SUMMARY OF 100 PM AST...1700 UTC...INFORMATION

LOCATION...12.6N 61.9W ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM WNW OF CARRIACOU ISLAND ABOUT 35 MI...60 KM NNW OF GRENADA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...946 MB...27.94 INCHES

$$ Forecaster Kelly/Cangialosi

000 WTNT33 KNHC 011431 TCPAT3

BULLETIN Remnants Of Chris Advisory Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032024 1000 AM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024

...CHRIS DISSIPATES OVER THE RUGGED TERRAIN OF EASTERN MEXICO... ...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE...

SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION

LOCATION...20.2N 97.8W ABOUT 60 MI...100 KM SSW OF TUXPAN MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK

At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the remnants of Chris were located near latitude 20.2 North, longitude 97.8 West. The remnants are moving toward the west-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h).

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

RAINFALL: The remnants of Chris is expected to produce rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches across portions of eastern Mexico today.
Maximum rainfall totals around 12 inches are possible across the higher terrain of the Mexican states of Guanajuato, Querétaro, and San Luis Potosí. This rainfall will result in areas of flooding, with mudslides possible in areas of higher terrain.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding associated with Chris, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?rainqpf

NEXT ADVISORY

This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system.

$$ Forecaster Cangialosi

000 WTNT33 KNHC 302329 TCPAT3

BULLETIN Tropical Depression Three Intermediate Advisory Number 1A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032024 700 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024

...DEPRESSION MOVING TOWARD THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO... ...POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN MEXICO...

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION

LOCATION...19.8N 95.6W ABOUT 145 MI...230 KM SE OF TUXPAN MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...

• Cabo Rojo to Puerto Veracruz.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 12 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK

At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Three was located near latitude 19.8 North, longitude 95.6 West. The depression is moving toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this general motion should continue until it dissipates over eastern Mexico late Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is expected, and the cyclone is forecast to become a tropical storm before it reaches the coast later tonight. The system is expected to weaken and dissipate after it moves inland over eastern Mexico.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Key messages for the depression can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC.

RAINFALL: Tropical Depression Three is expected to produce rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches across portions of eastern Mexico into Monday, with localized maximum totals of 15 inches possible. This rainfall will result in areas of flooding, with mudslides possible in areas of higher terrain.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding associated with Tropical Depression Three, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?rainqpf

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area later tonight.

NEXT ADVISORY

Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$ Forecaster Pasch

000 WTNT32 KNHC 302350 TCPAT2

BULLETIN Hurricane Beryl Intermediate Advisory Number 9A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024 800 PM AST Sun Jun 30 2024

...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 BERYL CLOSING IN ON THE WINDWARD ISLANDS... ...LIFE-THREATENING WINDS AND STORM SURGE EXPECTED THERE BEGINNING EARLY MONDAY MORNING...

SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION

LOCATION...11.2N 57.3W ABOUT 200 MI...320 KM SE OF BARBADOS ABOUT 260 MI...480 KM ESE OF ST. VINCENT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...958 MB...28.29 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of the Trinidad and Tobago has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for the island of Trinidad.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...

• Barbados
• St. Lucia
• St. Vincent and the Grenadine Islands
• Grenada
• Tobago

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...

• Martinique
• Trinidad

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...

• Dominica
• South coast of Dominican Republic from Punta Palenque westward to the border with Haiti
• South coast of Haiti from the border with the Dominican Republic to Anse d'Hainault

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in the Lesser Antilles, Hispaniola, Jamaica, the Cayman Islands, and the remainder of the northwestern Caribbean should closely monitor the progress of Beryl. Additional watches or warnings may be required tonight or on Monday.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK

At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the center of Hurricane Beryl was located near latitude 11.2 North, longitude 57.3 West. Beryl is moving toward the west-northwest near 18 mph (30 km/h). A continued quick westward to west-northwestward motion is expected during the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of Beryl is expected to move across the Windward Islands Monday morning and across the southeastern and central Caribbean Sea late Monday through Wednesday.

Data from both the Air Force Reserve and NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds remain near 130 mph (215 km/h) with higher gusts. Beryl is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Fluctuations in strength are likely during the next day or so, and Beryl is expected to remain an extremely dangerous category 4 hurricane through landfall in the Windward Islands.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km).

The minimum central pressure based on Hurricane Hunter aircraft data is 958 mb (28.29 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Key messages for Beryl can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC.

WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected in the hurricane warning area beginning early Monday morning. Potentially catastrophic wind damage is expected where the eyewall or core of Beryl moves through portions of the Windward Islands, with the highest risk of the core in St. Vincent and the Grenadines, and Grenada.

Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains are often up to 30 percent stronger than the near-surface winds indicated in this advisory, and in some elevated locations could be even greater.

Tropical storm conditions are expected in the tropical storm warning area starting late tonight, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous.

Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area starting late tonight for Dominica, and by Tuesday afternoon for parts of the southern coast of Hispaniola.

STORM SURGE: A life-threatening storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 6 to 9 feet above normal tide levels in areas of onshore winds near where the eye makes landfall in the hurricane warning area. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.

RAINFALL: Hurricane Beryl is expected to produce rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches across Barbados and the Windward Islands through Monday. Localized maxima of 10 inches is possible, especially in the Grenadines. This rainfall may cause flash flooding in vulnerable areas.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding associated with Hurricane Beryl, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf

SURF: Large swells generated by Beryl are expected across Windward and southern Leeward Islands during the next couple of days. Swells are also expected to reach the southern coasts of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola in the next day or so. These swells are expected to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY

Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$ Forecaster Papin

000 AXNT20 KNHC 301218 TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion...UPDATED NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1205 UTC Sun Jun 30 2024

UPDATED SPECIAL FEATURES WITH THE 1200 UTC INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY FOR HURRICANE BERYL AND THE 1200 UTC TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0800 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Hurricane Beryl is centered near 10.6N 53.9W at 30/1200 UTC or 360 nm ESE of Barbados, moving W at 18 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 968 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 100 kt with gusts to 120 kt. Peak seas are currently to 27 ft. Numerous moderate to strong convection is within 90 nm in the NE semicircle and 60 nm in the SW semicircle. Scattered to numerous moderate convection is elsewhere within 300 nm in the NE and SW semicircle and within 180 nm in the SE and NW semicircles. A continued quick westward to west-northwestward motion is expected during the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of Beryl is expected to move across the Windward Islands early on Monday and across the southeastern Caribbean Sea Monday night and Tuesday. Continued rapid strengthening is forecast over the next day or so, and Beryl is expected to become an extremely dangerous category 4 hurricane before it reaches the Windward Islands. Heavy rainfall and localized flooding is expected across the Windward Islands tonight and Monday. Swells generated by Beryl are expected to reach the Windward and southern Leeward Islands by this evening. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane center at website https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and the latest Beryl NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at www.hurricanes.gov

Southwestern Gulf of Mexico (Invest AL94): A broad area of 1008 mb low pressure is over the Bay of Campeche with disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Scattered moderate convection is within 120 nm of the center of the low near 18.5N93W. Current winds are 20 to 30 kt with occasionally higher gusts, and seas of 8 to 11 ft. Environmental conditions appear conducive for further development, and a short-lived tropical depression could form before the system moves inland over Mexico on Monday morning. Interests along the Gulf Coast of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall associated with the area of low pressure will continue to affect portions of Central America and Mexico through early next week. An Air Force reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system later today. This system has a medium chance of tropical cyclone development over the next 48 hours and 7 days.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (Invest AL96): Satellite-derived surface wind data indicate that a 1012 mb area of low pressure located several hundred nautical miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands near 07.5N32W has become better organized. Widely scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted across a broad area from 02N to 10N between 23W and 44W. Winds are currently up to 20 kt with seas of 6 to 7 ft. Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the middle part of this week while it moves generally westward at 15 to 20 kt across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. This system has a medium chance of tropical cyclone development over the next 48 hours and a high chance of development in the next 7 days.

Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at www.hurricanes.gov for the latest on both Invest 94L and 96L.

Potential for Heavy Rainfall for southern Mexico and Central America: Satellite imagery continues to reveal a broad cyclonic circulation associated with a Central American Gyre (CAG) in the northern part of Central America. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is currently affecting portions of southern and SE Mexico and western Central America. The latest model guidance continues to suggest high precipitation amounts over Mexico and northern Central America through Tue. As the system continues propagating northwestward, higher rainfalls are expected at Belize, Quintana Roo, Guatemala and southern Mexico through this weekend. These rains could shift northwestward over the coastal areas of Mexico along the Gulf of Mexico early in the week. It is recommended that residents in the aforementioned areas to stay alert on the latest information from their local weather services. Please refer to the Tropical Weather Discussion for the East Pacific at website: www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATWDEP.shtmal on rainfall information along the Pacific coastal areas of Central America.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 32W, south of 12N, moving westward at 10-15 kt, coincident with Invest 96L near 07.5N32W. Refer to the Special Features section for details on nearby convection.

A Caribbean Sea tropical wave extends from Puerto Rico near 19N66W south-southwestward to Venezuela near 06N68W, moving westward at 10-15 kt. No significant convection is noted with the tropical wave.

A Bay of Campeche tropical wave (Invest 94L) is along 93W, south of 23N, moving west-northwestward at around 10 kt. Refer to the Special Features section for more information.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic through the coast of Mauritania near 18N16W and continues southwestward to low pressure, Invest 96L, near 07.5N32W, to 07N40W. The ITCZ extends from 07N40W to east of Hurricane Beryl near 11N59W. Convection along the monsoon trough and ITCZ is described in the Special Features and Tropical Waves sections.

GULF OF MEXICO...

Please read the Special Features section for details on Invest 94L forecast to likely affect Mexico Mon.

A broad subtropical ridge centered in the central Atlantic extends westward into the Gulf of Mexico. The pressure gradient between the ridge and lower pressures in Mexico support fresh to strong easterly winds south of 27N and west of 89W. Seas in these waters are 7-11 ft, with the highest seas occurring near 23N93W. Moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas prevail elsewhere.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between a ridge along the Gulf coast states and a broad area of low pressure over the Bay of Campeche will support fresh to strong E to SE winds and large seas NW of the Yucatan Peninsula to the west-central Gulf with occasional gusts to gale force. Conditions appear generally conducive for further development and a tropical depression could form before the system moves inland again early next week over Mexico. Meanwhile, distant Hurricane Beryl in the Tropical N Atlantic may approach the NW Caribbean late next week, with tropical storm conditions possible Thu over portions near the Yucatan Peninsula.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

Please read the Special Features section for the latest details on Hurricane Beryl located east of the Windward Islands, Invest 94L in the Bay of Campeche, and Invest 96L in the eastern Atlantic Ocean.

An upper level low over eastern Cuba results in a few showers affecting eastern Haiti and the Windward Passage. A broad subtropical ridge centered over the central Atlantic extends southwestward into the Caribbean Sea, supporting fresh to locally strong easterly trade winds in the south-central Caribbean and just NE of the Gulf of Honduras. Seas in these waters are 5-8 ft. Moderate to fresh easterly winds are present elsewhere in the basin, except for light to gentle winds in the SW Caribbean south of 10N. Seas are 3-6 ft in the areas mentioned, except for slight seas in the SW Caribbean.

For the forecast, Hurricane Beryl is near 10.7N 53.1W at 5 AM EDT, and is moving west at 18 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 85 kt with gusts to 105 kt, and the minimum central pressure is 981 mb. Beryl will move to 11.1N 55.7W this afternoon, 11.8N 59.0W Mon morning, 12.9N 62.5W Mon afternoon, 14.1N 66.1W Tue morning, 15.4N 70.1W Tue afternoon, and 16.3N 74.0W Wed morning. Beryl will change little in intensity as it moves to 17.8N 80.9W early Thu, then to 19.1N 87.1W early Fri. Meanwhile, fresh to strong winds southeast of the Yucatan will diminish later this morning. Fresh to strong winds will pulse in the central Caribbean through Tue morning in advance of Beryl. A surge of fresh to strong winds may move into the tropical N Atlantic Tue night through Wed, then into the E Caribbean thereafter, associated with an area of low pressure which has the potential for tropical cyclone formation.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please see the Special Features section for details on Hurricane Beryl located east of the Windward Islands and the disturbance in the eastern Atlantic.

Th Bermuda-Azores High dominates the Atlantic forecast waters. A couple of upper level lows north of the Bahamas are producing a few showers and thunderstorms in the NW Bahamas and nearby waters and between Bermuda and Hispaniola. A generally dry airmass, associated with Saharan dust, is found elsewhere in the tropical Atlantic, north of the deep tropics. The pressure gradient between the aforementioned ridge and lower pressures in NW Africa result in fresh to strong northerly winds north of 19N and east of 25W. Seas in these waters are 6-8 ft. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail in the basin.

For the forecast west of 55W, Ridging will support gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas north of 25N, with moderate to fresh trades and mainly moderate seas south of 25N, locally strong north of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola at times, through the next several days. Hurricane Beryl is near 10.7N 53.1W at 5 AM EDT, and is moving west at 18 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 85 kt with gusts to 105 kt, and the minimum central pressure is 981 mb. Beryl will move to 11.1N 55.7W this afternoon, 11.8N 59.0W Mon morning, 12.9N 62.5W Mon afternoon, 14.1N 66.1W Tue morning, 15.4N 70.1W Tue afternoon, and 16.3N 74.0W Wed morning. Beryl will change little in intensity as it moves to 17.8N 80.9W early Thu, then to 19.1N 87.1W early Fri. A decaying cold front may drop south of 31N Tue through Wed.

$$ Lewitsky/Mahoney

VIRGINIA BEACH, Va. (WAVY) — A Virginia Beach man who struck his ex-girlfriend around a dozen times in the head with a brick in an attempt to kill her will spend more than 20 years in prison.

63-year-old Bobby Randall Bland, formerly of the 4100 block of Front Royal Road in Virginia Beach, was sentenced on Monday after pleading guilty back in February to charges of malicious wounding, statutory burglary of building with the intent to commit rape/rob/murder/arson and assault and battery of a family member.