barsoap

joined 1 year ago
[–] [email protected] 1 points 3 days ago (2 children)

They're in fact forbidden from broadcasting within Germany, doubly so: First off they're not public but state TV. secondly, they're federal while broadcasting is state prerogative.

Expect their editorial policy to align with Germany's foreign policy, and there's some selection and framing going on occasionally in the sense of "we'll report about a problem but only in the context of it being addressed" kind of deal. They'll report about arguments within Germany, but they won't start any. When it comes to raw factuality they're highly reliable.

I think the ARD membership is just about access to each other's programming, there's zero overlap when it comes to editorial staff, running the channel etc. That would be highly unconstitutional.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 3 days ago

Arte does have some English, Spanish, Polish, and Italian stuff but it's quite limited and generally only subtitles. Other languages if they happened to have bought it from somewhere else, say a documentary about Kafka where you can select the original Czech audio. News won't be among the English subtitled stuff but there's a good amount of documentaries, background and big-picture stuff. Not just society and politics, all kinds of topics.

Just go browse. And, separately, a metric fuckton of live concerts from all genres.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago)

Just for the record, and context: That wasn't misogyny, it's not calling any woman anything (though using a word vulgarly referring to female genitalia), it's the established insult for Merz. Really doesn't translate well, not so much word-wise but connotation and implication-wise. Cf. the American vs. English vs. Australian usage of the word, doesn't translate at all and that's within the same language.

It's an imputed high-school nickname calling him, in my reading, an immature braggart. You know, 12yold brags about their extensive sexual experience, gets called "pussy hunter" in return to make fun of him. There's also the additional linguistic quibble that the word, to the amusement of the rest of the republic, simply means "face" in Bavarian and can be used there more or less in the sense of "gob", as in "shut your gob". He indeed has a big one.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 3 days ago

The EU is a defensive pact in itself and while "defend our brothers" sentiment is not tightly woven, there's a tripwire cascade. You cannot attack Estonia without every single Finn being personally offended, and you cannot separate Finland and Sweden in military matters, the list goes on and on. The effect flattens out the further away you get but you'd be hard-pressed to find a member thinking twice about sending arms and MREs. Poland would have boots on the ground before Spain gets the call.

Estonia. The fuck has Estonia ever done to anyone. They're essentially a mascot of the EU: Them being, willingly, part of the pack is witness to the EU actually being a post-colonial project. They're way too precious to be left hanging. I can't even bring myself to make an alcoholism joke right now.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 3 days ago (2 children)

They aren't strong enough to take on each separately, either. For Russia to attain their coveted superpower status they'd need to stop fucking around and actually invest in themselves. They do have more than enough land and resources, they have a reasonably well-educated population, it wouldn't take that long trouble is they're a kleptocracy and the chief kleptocrat thinks being a superpower is measured in land mass.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 3 days ago

The EU accepts countries with border disputes into the union (in fact there's a couple very fun ones between member states, generally low-intensity though, e.g NL and DE even agreed to disagree in perpetuity), the EU is also a defensive pact, trouble being getting into the EU is quite a bit harder than getting into NATO: Vastly stricter rule of law and democracy standards, on top of that trade integration, economics and everything.

OTOH the EU is also not above creating new ad-hoc treaty structures with unimaginative names so a... DCENSV, "Deep and Comprehensive European Neighbourhood Security Vehicle" is absolutely within the realm of possibilities. People are basically waiting for Trump to move while preparing responses for every scenario, very little if any of this kind of preparation will reach the public eye.

[–] [email protected] 13 points 3 days ago (4 children)

NATO member Finland has a land border of many hundreds of kilometers with Russia’s mainland territory. That doesn’t seem to be hurting anyone or anything, except perhaps Mr. Putin’s ambitions to one day reconquer Finland.

Fun fact: The border is essentially unmanned on the Russian side, they moved pretty much everyone to Ukraine. Doesn't look like they're expecting to be invaded. You may or may not be interested in what military installations exist up on the Kola peninsula and how many roads and rail lines go south.

[–] [email protected] 14 points 3 days ago (1 children)

Habeck is a realo, not fundie. Support for him among green voters (which is what actually counts, not party members, he'll get his nomination because who else should they run) is overwhelming, very good among SPD voters, AfD voters hate him and that won't change any time soon, CDU is where he's going to have to make inroads. Perception-wise the problem is competence, blame that on the Bild campaign and I absolutely expect that to shift very quickly once people actually hear him in a debate.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 4 days ago (1 children)

No it doesn't, and I never implied that. But Zion, aka a place for Jews to live in peace, happiness and prosperity? Why not NYC? It certainly can be a Zion for some who look for one, I didn't bother to go all "some but not all" for an off-hand quip.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 4 days ago

I'll quote myself:

I don’t want to make this a comparison, much less an Olympics.

I hereby formally concede. I want to win this even less than I wanted to start it.

[–] [email protected] -1 points 4 days ago (4 children)

Let me know when you walk by someone and they give a Nazi salute.

You're asking a German whether that happens. Yes, yes, it fucking happens occasionally when abroad and I can't even punch them right there in the gob for it because the self-defence laws abroad don't tend to include insult. We also have actual Nazis here and they don't tend to like it when you look like a punk.

I don't want to make this a comparison, much less an Olympics. What I want to say is that I recommend against getting into the habit of assuming you're the only one, or part of the only group, which experiences shitty things. You're not alone, by a long shot. Especially kids are awful and will other you for every- and nothing just because they can. Least of all should you make it, even to the slightest degree, part of your identity: Standing up for justice doesn't require self-victimisation, on the contrary, self-victimisation tends to obscure perception, lock you into tunnel-vision, isolate you from solidarity because why would potential allies give a fuck about your struggle if you can't even see theirs. It's all in all a bad, self-defeating and self-destructive, trip.

can be construed as offensive.

"can be construed". You can construe anything to be anything if you try hard enough. I could say "Turkish Halva is better than Israeli Halva" and you could take offence at that, and interpret it as antisemitic (for the record: I can't tell a difference). The Israeli music scene certainly sucks, by and large and maybe glossing over two or three bands you have the choice between escapist electronica and escapist electronica with fascist texts. Was that offensive enough?

This is some “I can tell racist jokes because my grandfather was half-black” territory.

I'm perfectly aware of the difference between Jewish jokes and Jew jokes. The former are actually good.

[–] [email protected] -2 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago) (12 children)

...and different ethnicities outnumber Jews pretty much everywhere? Or is this about Wall Street? To that I have to say that I'm simply not antisemitic enough to even think about connecting the two, had to wreck my brain for a bit what you might be trying to get at. Certainly more (ethnically) Christian bankers there than Jewish ones.

(And just so you know where I'm coming from: German, grandpa was prosecuted as "half-Jew" (barely enough "German blood" to not end up in a camp, also, Lutheran, great-grandparents not so lucky), I have family in Israel. Long story short: Taking the lessons from my ancestry together, there can be no non-anti-fascist Zionism because fascism is a tragedy also for the perpetrators. There'd never be peace. hevenu_shalom_aleichem.opus)

 

Description:
After more than four months of fighting, Ukraine's counteroffensive is grinding on. There have been none of the rapid mechanised advances many Ukrainian allies hoped for. Instead, there has been a hard, grinding assault intended to slowly break into, and eventually through, the main belt of Russian fixed defences.

Today I want to look at the way the counteroffensive has evolved over time, what we've learned about Russian defences and tactics, and what all of that might mean as months of mud and winter cold grow ever closer.

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Sparkling Aggression (cdn.imgchest.com)
 
 

Title.

 

Description:


Usually on my channel we focus on questions of defence economics - elements like national resources, production, stockpiles and logistics that feed into the ability of a nation to carry on a war.

But I also try to always flag the importance of political and social elements as well - the ways in which politics and the will to fight can complicate what would otherwise be a largely mathematical exercise. While those factors are important however, Russian politics is not my area of academic or professional focus.

Today I'm releasing an interview recorded with Danish military analyst Anders Puck Nielsen at the Royal Danish Defence College. Anders has long had a focus on Russia and the Russian military, and so I was keen to get his thoughts on Russia's political and social divisions of power, attitudes towards the war, and how these might factor into Ukraine's theory of potential victory.

All thoughts expressed are obviously his own personal ones (though all slide content was produced by me.)

I hope you enjoy this deviation from the usual format, but you'll be back to hearing more of me next week.

 

Description:

Ankara's role during the war in Ukraine is a complex and sometimes controversial one. As a NATO member but not an EU state, the Turks have continued to expand their trade with Russia and have continued an open dialogue with Moscow. On the other hand, Türkiye's military industry has supplied Ukraine even before the full scale invasion and Turkish policy has been full throated in its support for Ukraine's territorial integrity - including Crimea.

Turkish policy is complex and, to use the words of a former NATO assistant Secretary General - compartmentalised. It often involves cooperation even with potential strategic rivals, and sometimes tense and transactional interactions with general allies. In this episode I wanted to explore the nation's defence capabilities, economic and strategic situation, and see how that may have helped inform Erdogan's policy in Ukraine - and how that policy may impact the war going forward.

 

Another Sunday, another Perun video


While the hardest fighting in Ukraine takes place on land, the Black Sea front saw a stand-off through most of 2022 and early 2023. Russia's fleet was ranged away from the coast by AShMs, but continued to fire cruise missiles from afar.

As time has gone on, the fighting has evolved and new weapons have been deployed, including long range drones. At the same time, the deal which allowed millions of tonnes of foodstuffs to safely transit the Black Sea now seems to have ended, setting the stage for a potential escalation in fighting and a potential blockade.

In this episode, I look at the naval war in 2023, the strikes on the bridge, and the potentially vast implications of the end of the grain export deal.

 

Ukraine is running short on artillery, which is causing a slowdown in its counteroffensive. Why isn't the West meeting Ukraine's needs? The problem is production capacity: Western factories simply cannot produce the artillery shells as fast as Ukraine can fire them. Investing in production capacity could easily bridge the gap. However, weapons manufacturers are nervous that demand for shells will disappear as soon as the war ends, leaving the infrastructure investments unprofitable. This video explains how guaranteed contracts solve that problem and simultaneously encourage Russia's retreat even before the assembly lines are up and running.

 

Never mind me, just posting Perun. Haven't even really read the headline yet.


While systems like tanks, jets and cruise missiles tend to capture the public imagination, the war in Ukraine in 2023 is largely being fought with much the same tools as it was in 2022 - artillery.

The constant exchange of fire has been critical to the battle, enabling attrition, blunting attacks and enabling advances. Both sides have continued to adapt, trying to refine their tactics and capabilities while wearing down their opponent.

But in this attritional struggle, losses and resupply of systems, barrels and ammunition matter, not just tactics. Ukraine now finds itself in an ammunition deficit - trying to attack at a time where its allies have not yet ramped up production enough to readily meet its needs.

It's in that context that the US recently announced the supply of cluster munitions to refill Ukraine's ammunition bunkers. Today we look at those munitions, their likely impact, as well as the broader course of the artillery war in Ukraine one year on from my original video on the topic "outgunned"

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