Zak

joined 2 years ago
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[–] Zak 2 points 1 month ago (2 children)

I think the main thing I can take away from this is I'd be terrible at running a political campaign. I already knew that.

While I can understand how more traditional conservative messages resonate with people, Trump's are outside my Overton window. I can see the mechanics of how it works, and I can empathize with people who feel like the current system is failing them, but not with those who feel like Trump is going to fix it.

I'm disappointed your comments are attracting downvotes. They are on-topic and well-reasoned.

[–] Zak 2 points 1 month ago (7 children)

I'm not going to cop to strawmanning here, but I will grant that people who are receptive to his messaging on immigration might hear it differently than I do.

Perhaps part of my difficulty understanding how someone could resonate with that messaging without being an irredeemable racist stems from it not being based in reality any time there are actual numbers available from law enforcement. Drug couriers are citizens far more often than they are immigrants. Illegal immigrants have a lower crime rate than citizens. Noncitizens attempting to vote is rare and usually results in prosecution. "Open border" means something very different to me, e.g. intra-EU borders than it seems to mean to Trump.

Despite all that, Trump's supporters feel like he's telling them the truth about these issues and everyone who contradicts him is lying. The explanations that come to mind for me are... uncharitable. I'd like to hear alternatives.

[–] Zak 13 points 1 month ago

It seems to me software designed to facilitate discussion shouldn't have a downvote buttton. There should be a UI for marking comments as inappropriate, but it should require a second step saying why. Perhaps one of the reasons should even be "I disagree", but that option should have no effect.

It's not impossible to abuse of course, but it nudges people in the right direction. Those UI nudges can be pretty effective.

[–] Zak 3 points 1 month ago (9 children)

Not many, and those who come to mind weren't receptive to that kind of messaging. Reasoning I've heard includes "Biden ruined the economy", "vote R no matter who", and "RFK and Tulsi Gabbard endorsed him".

The statements I've heard from Trump himself are "illegal immigrants are going to steal your job, the election, and your cat", and "trans people want to fuck your kid", which are about groups of people with very little political power.

[–] Zak 3 points 1 month ago (11 children)

It's definitely true that white collar, urban liberals sometimes punch down at rural, blue collar white people. It does hurt them politically.

I'm having trouble seeing anything Trump says about anyone other than high-level elected officials as punching up though. Attacks on the sitting president are punching up by definition, but the challenger always does that.

It seems more to me that he's telling people who don't feel good about their position in society that there's someone below them. That was the message of slavery, of apartheid, and of Hitler. I find it hard not to condemn those who were receptive to it.

[–] Zak 115 points 1 month ago (35 children)

Persuadable voters seemed really focused on prices. It's hard not to be condescending here. Eggs are expensive because of bird flu. Rent is high because not enough housing is being built, mostly limited by local issues. Gas is high because of Putin's war. Anyone who thinks electing Trump will bring those prices down because they were lower last time he was president is fucking clueless.

I'm interested to see how much of a factor unenthusiastic Democrats were. Trump got about the same number of votes he did in 2020, but Harris got far fewer than Biden. It looks like a bunch of people who voted last time didn't vote this time. For them, the concerns the author dismisses might have been more important.

[–] Zak 7 points 1 month ago (1 children)

The higher-score comments there don't seem to be particularly hostile to Lemmy. They talk about legitimate concerns like whether Lemmy as it exists now could deal with a Reddit-size volume of data, The top comment at this time speaks favorably of [email protected].

Of course people who are still using Reddit are more likely to view Reddit as favorable or acceptable and alternatives as problematic, or not quite there yet. I'm actively Fediverse-first in my use of social media, but I still end up on Reddit quite a bit for niche interests because that's where the most people are.

[–] Zak 5 points 1 month ago

A bit of that, a bit of ordinary inflation, and a bit of Putin's war. I find it unlikely the current president had reasonable options to prevent any of that.

[–] Zak 46 points 1 month ago (6 children)

The trend is that when the economy is bad for the average person, it hurts the incumbent.

I don't think the people whose votes swung the election in Trump's favor know how tariffs work or what policies Musk has in mind. They don't even know why eggs are expensive (bird flu); they just know things were cheaper last time Trump was president.

Of course that's assuming there's a free and fair election next time around.

[–] Zak 4 points 1 month ago

In the context of ad-supported algorithmic social media, offensive is the wrong question. It's about brand damage.

Showing an ad next to something that actually offends people can damage a brand, but even something a little edgy might turn off customers of a brand with a more formal or conservative audience. The algorithm's ultimate goal is to get people to watch ads, so something a little edgy might reduce the reach of that content. Censoring it prevents the algorithmic downrank.

[–] Zak 44 points 1 month ago (3 children)

Everyone with a reason or responsibility to inform the public about the economy has not been effective enough.

  • Why are eggs expensive? There has been an ongoing bird flu outbreak for the past four years. Government policy might be able to mitigate the impact some, but the virus does not care who is president.
  • Why is rent expensive? Not enough housing, mostly, with a bit of facilitated collusion thrown in. The president has little to do with the former; if anything, Trump is more likely to tolerate the latter.
  • Why is gas expensive? A president does have a big role here, but it's Putin, not Biden or Trump. It's also not up a whole lot from 5-6 years ago.
[–] Zak 3 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Every antivaxer knows the Science shows vaccines work

Having debated a couple who are quite intelligent otherwise, I'm going to have to dispute that.

Sure, they know broadly that exposing the immune system to something that looks like a pathogen primes it to respond to that pathogen in the future, but they tend to be way off on the implications. I've heard it suggested that too many vaccines cause people to run out of immune memory. I've heard that all antibodies cause inflammation. I've heard that previous attempts to produce coronavirus vaccines killed the majority of test subjects years later.

None of those claims are true, and the only way they could be true is if everyone in the field of immunology is lying all the time.

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