ShittyBeatlesFCPres

It’s kind of impossible to objectively rank strongest hurricanes. Meteorologists probably use atmospheric pressure but when communicating with the public, the focus is always on wind speed. Storm surge matters way more in some places than others. Diameter can make a Cat 2 cause more damage than a small Cat 4 that hits a less populated area. There’s so many different variables.

A lot of Helene’s danger was that it was so fast-moving that it made it inland to places that aren’t prepared. Hurricane Harvey flooded Houston so much because it was so slow moving. Pick your poison when it comes to movement speed, I guess? 🤷

Wikipedia uses atmospheric pressure and wind speed, FWIW: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Atlantic_hurricane_records

Israel isn’t fighting a country. It’s, at least ostensibly, fighting terrorism and every civilian killed radicalizes someone. Israel will be less secure in the future because of how Netanyahu has conducted the war in Gaza, not to mention how he’s given settlers — who are terrorists themselves — free rein to steal land and attack West Bank Palestinians. (I say “ostensibly” because Gaza looks a lot more like a genocide than any sort of limited mission to crush Hamas and rescue hostages.)

Unfortunately, I don’t see Netanyahu’s strategy making Israel more secure in the long term.

I don’t know how you think these things work but bombing half the Levant isn’t going to make Israel any safer. It just means Hamas and Hezbollah (or whatever group replaces them) will be even more extreme and capable of recruiting militants. You can’t bomb your way to peace.

I think it was a black church which, for the most part, hasn’t gone nuts. There’s always a handful of weird ones and/or hustling preachers but the vast, vast majority are about charity and community and service. (Almost like they actually read the Bible and pay attention to what Jesus preached instead of whatever happens at Six Flags over Jesus ass megachurches.)

You’d think the owner of a shady software company would know he could get that information from data brokers. Hell, voter rolls are usually available for a relatively small fee: https://www.ncsl.org/elections-and-campaigns/access-to-and-use-of-voter-registration-lists

Any competent campaign would already have identified their likely voters.

Pfft. I’d stay at home way longer if they’d killed the jerk who invented work.

Or maybe he’s an irresponsible jackass helping people create untraceable murder weapons that are plastic and thus will never protect anyone from tyranny but will lead to more unsolved crimes and (hopefully) some plastic guns blow up in their face.

Whom is to say? No matter how thin you make a tortilla, there’s always two sides.

Which was basically a coincidence of one close election night and the TV networks trying to act objective. Parties don’t have official colors in the U.S. and every network was using red, white, and blue for their maps. To use red for Democrats would have implied a connection to communism and white was obviously for states without results yet. So, they all, independently, chose blue for Democrats, red for Republicans, and white for states whose polls hadn’t closed.

The poll in the article was in the field before the storm(s) but no Florida poll will be reliable for the foreseeable future. Half of the Tampa-St. Pete region is going to be evacuating this week should the Hurricane Milton develop according to forecasts. Parts of the state are dealing with Helene.

Voting isn’t even going to be predictable, much less polling. Committed voters will do anything to vote but a lot of people are detached from politics and are going to be busy with home repairs, insurance companies, or just not coming back.

I’m not defending modern Nate Silver as a person — he seems to have become a bit of a gambling addict — but in 2016, 538’s model had Trump’s chances at like 33% and the competing models had his chances at 1-2%. It wasn’t a bad model so much as a “when polls are off, they tend to be off in the same direction” situation. The 2016 538 model at least took that into account.

Well, in the U.S., it’s written 4/20 and everyone associates it with getting mega high. It was successfully reclaimed by stoners.

Also, I’ll protest war and genocide on September 11th. It doesn’t mean I’m somehow pro-terror. This may shock you but most people who are anti-war don’t like Hamas or the Israeli government and are mostly concerned about the civilian carnage that’s inevitable in war. You might want to look in the mirror if you have a rooting interest in a dumbfuck, brutal war that’s making everyone worse off.

Maybe she’s just annoyed that Billy Joel wrote a song about how everyone in the bar sucks but him.