this post was submitted on 13 Dec 2023
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[–] Buffalox 7 points 1 year ago (1 children)

I noticed yesterday, but never got around to posting it, but the short time it has taken to go from 300k to 340 k losses for Russia is less than 1Β½ month which is insane!
https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2023/10/31/7426472/
On Oktober 31 Russia passed 300k and yesterday only 43 days later they already added 40k to that.
That's averaging 937 per day for almost 1Β½ month, compared to 488 for the 616 days before that.
So Russia is accepting doubling their casualties in their attempt to take Avdiivka!

PS:
Putin just held his reelection speech, we will see if things calm down after that.
I suspect Russia may keep on, for Putin to have a victory for the election.

[–] bouh 7 points 1 year ago (1 children)

It's already decreasing since yesterday, back to 800/day. Maybe it's Putin discourse, but they seem to be using different tactics now, with more drones and smaller units. So it may only be adaptation.

[–] Buffalox 7 points 1 year ago

Yes we will see if they are slowing down for the winter, 800 is still high.
But imagine the strategic ineptitude, if Russia honestly thought they had a chance of taking Avdiivka so he could use it in his reelection speech!