There was an article the other day that a US intelligence officer stated Ukraine hadn't achieved its goal of reaching melitopol this year. But that they might continue pushing during the winter months which would be unusual
this post was submitted on 19 Aug 2023
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Biden: Russia has already lost, it cannot achieve its initial goal in Ukraine
(www.pravda.com.ua)
I wonder if all that vegetation that turned out to be a hindrance during the summer offensive will stabilize the ground enough that the Ukrainians can push through mud season.
If the main obstacle is minefields, snow might be a serious issue.