this post was submitted on 27 Jan 2025
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Glenn Greenwald

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Ceasefire Agreement in the Middle East

  • The discussion begins with the recent ceasefire agreement between Israel and the Palestinians, highlighting the significant role played by Donald Trump and his envoy in facilitating this deal.
  • The timing of the ceasefire is questioned, particularly why it occurred after 15 months of conflict without resolution.
  • A critical factor in the agreement is the state of the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF), which is described as being in deep trouble and unable to defeat Hamas, indicating a military at risk of collapse.
  • The ceasefire is structured in stages, starting with a six-week period during which hostages will be exchanged and Israeli forces are expected to withdraw from Gaza.
  • There are concerns that Israeli officials have no intention of moving beyond the initial stage of the ceasefire to a more permanent peace deal, suggesting a desire to resume military actions after the hostages are returned.

Hostage Exchange and Military Strategy

  • The initial phase of the ceasefire involves the exchange of hostages, with 33 already returned to Israel and 65 remaining in Hamas's custody.
  • The discussion raises doubts about whether the second phase of the ceasefire will occur, given the significant number of hostages still held by Hamas.
  • The Israeli military's ability to restart offensive operations is questioned, especially considering the destruction already inflicted on Gaza and the lack of a clear strategy to defeat Hamas.
  • The conversation suggests that the Israeli military may lack viable plans for further military action, as the situation in Gaza has severely deteriorated, complicating any potential future operations.

Consequences of Military Actions

  • The discussion reflects on the broader implications of military actions in Gaza, particularly how the killing of civilians can fuel extremism and recruitment for groups like Hamas.
  • It is noted that the United States has previously recognized that military actions can create more enemies than they eliminate, raising questions about Israel's understanding of this principle.
  • The conversation emphasizes the predictable cycle of violence that results from aggressive military strategies, which often leads to increased hostility and recruitment for extremist groups.

Israeli Objectives and Future of Gaza

  • The discussion posits that the Israeli government's primary objective was not merely to defeat Hamas but to pursue a strategy of ethnic cleansing in Gaza.
  • This strategy aimed to drive Palestinians out of Gaza, thereby addressing both the Hamas issue and the broader apartheid concerns regarding Israel's status.
  • Despite the extensive military campaign, the goal of making Gaza unlivable and forcing the population to flee has not been achieved, leading to questions about the future of the region.
  • The conversation concludes with uncertainty surrounding Gaza's postwar reconstruction, especially with Hamas still in control and no clear plans from the Israeli government on how to manage the territory moving forward.

Geopolitical Implications and Financial Security

  • The discussion transitions to the geopolitical ramifications of the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, particularly its potential to destabilize global markets.
  • Concerns are raised regarding the financial security of individuals in light of rising inflation and government debt, which have diminished the purchasing power of the US dollar.
  • The conversation suggests that investing in physical assets like gold and silver may provide a hedge against economic instability and protect financial futures.

Conclusion and Viewing Options

  • The segment concludes by inviting viewers to watch the full live show, which airs Monday through Friday, and offers access to previous episodes on various platforms.
  • Viewers are encouraged to engage with the content and stay informed about ongoing discussions regarding foreign policy and militarism.

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