Short Summary
- The discussion centers on the complex conflicts in West Asia, particularly in Syria and Lebanon.
- Giorgio Cafiero, CEO of Gulf States Analytics, is introduced to explore the evolving dynamics in the region.
- There has been a significant shift in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) states' stance towards the Syrian government, particularly with the UAE transitioning from supporting the opposition to backing Assad.
- The UAE is actively involved in diplomatic efforts to normalize relations with Assad and is planning for Syria's reconstruction.
- GCC countries now prefer Assad to remain in power to prevent extremist groups from gaining control.
- The conversation touches on a potential shift towards a more peaceful regional consensus, influenced by recent rapprochements between Iran and Saudi Arabia.
- The evolving relationships between Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Iran are noted, highlighting a warming of ties compared to previous years.
- Ongoing talks between the UAE and the U.S. regarding sanctions on Syria may lead to Syria reducing its ties with Iran.
- Turkey's role in the conflict is discussed, with its government shifting its stance towards restoring diplomatic ties with Syria after recognizing Assad's resilience with Russian support.
- The overall context reflects chaos and unpredictability in Syria, with potential ramifications for neighboring countries like Lebanon, Turkey, Jordan, Iraq, and the Gulf region.
Giorgio Cafiero, CEO of Gulf State Analytics, joins the show to break down the escalating tensions in the Middle East. From the renewed conflict in Syria to the shifting dynamics between the Gulf States and the Axis of Resistance—all against the backdrop of the ongoing Gaza genocide—Cafiero breaks down the latest developments and their global impact.
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