So I'm going to try and stay true to Nate's blog-post, but I see his predictions as too important to be pay-walled (especially consider how 538 basically isn't 538 any more since they don't use Nate's model). All of the figures in this post are my own and made using Nate's data and were made in R using ggplot. Just simple reproductions for the purposes of discussion. I didn't do all of them, just the big headline figures.
If you are in Dark Mode (as you should be) you may have to right click the figures and look at them in a separate tab.
Figure 1: Who is ahead in the polls.
Figure 2: Who is ahead in the polls (inset to recent weeks).
Table 1: State and national polling.
Table 2: Who is favored to win the Presidency?
Figure 3: How each candidate's chance of wining has changed.
Figure 4: Probability of Winning Presidential Election.
Keeping everything editorial out of the post. These are basic reproductions of Nate Silvers recent post using data he provided, to support having a discussion.