this post was submitted on 07 Jul 2023
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UK Politics

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Westminster voting intention:

๐Ÿ”ด Lab 51% (+3)

๐Ÿ”ต Con 25% (-1)

๐ŸŸ  LD 8% (NC)

๐ŸŸก SNP 3% (-1)

โšช Ref 5% (-2)

๐ŸŸข Green 5% (NC)

via @Omnisis , 06 - 07 Jul

Busy day for polling, and another big but increasing lead for Labour

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[โ€“] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago (3 children)

Flavible:

Party Pred % Pred Seats
CON ๐ŸŒณ 25.0% 129
LAB ๐ŸŒน 51.0% 435
LD ๐Ÿ”ถ 8.0% 29
REFUK โžก๏ธ 5.0% 0
Green ๐ŸŒ 5.0% 1
SNP ๐ŸŽ—๏ธ 3% 31
PC ๐Ÿ’ฎ 0.5% 3

Electoral Calculus (2023 Boundaries'):

Party 2019 Votes 2019 Seats Pred Votes Gains Losses Net Change Pred Seats
CON ๐ŸŒณ 44.7% 376 25.0% 1 325 -324 52
LAB ๐ŸŒน 33.0% 197 51.0% 338 0 +338 535
LIB ๐Ÿ”ถ 11.8% 8 8% 8 0 +8 16
Reform โžก๏ธ 2.1% 0 7% 0 0 +0 0
Green ๐ŸŒ 2.8% 1 6% 0 0 +0 1
SNP ๐ŸŽ—๏ธ 4.0% 48 3.5% 0 15 -23 25
PlaidC ๐Ÿ’ฎ 0.5% 2 0.4% 1 1 +0 2
Other โฌœ๏ธ 1.1% 0 2.0% 1 0 +1 1
N.Ire โฌœ๏ธ - 18 - 0 0 +0 18
[โ€“] zabil 5 points 1 year ago (2 children)

Con with 1/10th the seats of Labour. What a day that would be.

[โ€“] [email protected] 3 points 1 year ago (1 children)
[โ€“] mron 2 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

The UK is effectively an entrenched two party system by design rather than by democratic means.