UK Politics

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Westminster Voting Intention: LAB: 51% (+3) | CON: 25% (-1) | LDEM: 8% (-) | SNP 3% (-1) | REF: 5% (-2) | GRN: 5% (-) | Via Omnisis (twitter.com)

submitted 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) by [email protected] to c/[email protected]

16 comments fedilink hide all child comments

Westminster voting intention:

🔴 Lab 51% (+3)

🔵 Con 25% (-1)

🟠 LD 8% (NC)

🟡 SNP 3% (-1)

⚪ Ref 5% (-2)

🟢 Green 5% (NC)

via @Omnisis , 06 - 07 Jul

Busy day for polling, and another big but increasing lead for Labour

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[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago (1 children)

            
              Flavible:


Party
Pred %
Pred Seats


CON 🌳
25.0%
129

LAB 🌹
51.0%
435

LD 🔶
8.0%
29

REFUK ➡️
5.0%
0

Green 🌍
5.0%
1

SNP 🎗️
3%
31

PC 💮
0.5%
3


Electoral Calculus (2023 Boundaries'):


Party
2019 Votes
2019 Seats
Pred Votes
Gains
Losses
Net Change
Pred Seats


CON 🌳
44.7%
376
25.0%
1
325
-324
52

LAB 🌹
33.0%
197
51.0%
338
0
+338
535

LIB 🔶
11.8%
8
8%
8
0
+8
16

Reform ➡️
2.1%
0
7%
0
0
+0
0

Green 🌍
2.8%
1
6%
0
0
+0
1

SNP 🎗️
4.0%
48
3.5%
0
15
-23
25

PlaidC 💮
0.5%
2
0.4%
1
1
+0
2

Other ⬜️
1.1%
0
2.0%
1
0
+1
1

N.Ire ⬜️
-
18
-
0
0
+0
18



            
          

Party	Pred %	Pred Seats
CON 🌳	25.0%	129
LAB 🌹	51.0%	435
LD 🔶	8.0%	29
REFUK ➡️	5.0%	0
Green 🌍	5.0%	1
SNP 🎗️	3%	31
PC 💮	0.5%	3

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON 🌳	44.7%	376	25.0%	1	325	-324	52
LAB 🌹	33.0%	197	51.0%	338	0	+338	535
LIB 🔶	11.8%	8	8%	8	0	+8	16
Reform ➡️	2.1%	0	7%	0	0	+0	0
Green 🌍	2.8%	1	6%	0	0	+0	1
SNP 🎗️	4.0%	48	3.5%	0	15	-23	25
PlaidC 💮	0.5%	2	0.4%	1	1	+0	2
Other ⬜️	1.1%	0	2.0%	1	0	+1	1
N.Ire ⬜️	-	18	-	0	0	+0	18

[–] zabil 5 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Con with 1/10th the seats of Labour. What a day that would be.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Those poor LibDems though...

[–] mron 2 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

The UK is effectively an entrenched two party system by design rather than by democratic means.