this post was submitted on 16 Apr 2024
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Abacus Data’s latest polling has the federal Conservatives out to their biggest lead in over a decade. Unless there is a drastic change over the summer, Canadians ought to prepare for a Conservative majority at some point in the next year or so.

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No one should be paying closer attention than Danielle Smith and the United Conservative Party.

A change of government in Ottawa would have a major impact on provincial politics in Alberta. With no whipping boy or scapegoat in Ottawa, the provincial UCP would need to shift focus and even rebrand.

At the same time, the Fair Deal strategy launched by the Jason Kenney government and accelerated by Smith has created a set of demands and expectations upon the next prime minister that may be difficult to walk back.

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[–] [email protected] 6 points 6 months ago (8 children)

To be honest, the Liberals don't want election reform, at least not the way you think.

If we have proportional representation, the Liberals (and the Conservatives, let's be honest) would never govern again.

As it stands, it's quite possible to form a majority government with ~35% of the vote, which suits the LPC and CPC just fine, as they can just swap chairs every four to eight years. Under PR, they'd need to win >50%, which hasn't happened in almost fifty years, and even before that was still very, very rare. The LPC or CPC would need to share power with the NDP or BQ to get anything done, which means that a) parliament would have to represent the electorate, and the electorate is much for left-of-centre than the people they vote for, and b) the LPC and CPC couldn't depend on the favour of their donors since buying them wouldn't really worth the money it is today.

The Liberals would sooner go through a twelve-year term in the wilderness than see a Canada that's run like a western European country. So yes, they'd rather lose, and lose hard, knowing they'd be back in eventually, then advance real electoral reform and lose their sole access to the levers of power forever.

[–] [email protected] -2 points 6 months ago (4 children)

@psvrh @skozzii
Hmmmm two accounts that have been sitting idle for almost a year with no followers.....
@benroyce Remember what we were just talking about.?Take a look and tell my your opinion, please...if you don't mind?

[–] [email protected] -1 points 6 months ago* (last edited 6 months ago) (3 children)

@Snowshadow @psvrh @skozzii i plead american ignorance of canadian politics. but russian troll farm and 50 cent party's modus operandi is interference in the west via internal divide and conquer on easily manipulated topics

that's all twitter is now, and such disinfo and manipulation accounts are active on mastodon as well, and we will see them more and more

luckily, we have more responsive mods and better network architecture here to handle their psyop

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