this post was submitted on 06 Jul 2023
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Except that's what happened with xmpp. Google and WhatsApp and Facebook all used to be xmpp. Once they had most their users they started ignoring the protocol and people who had regular xmpp servers we're viewed as weird by the rest of society since they couldn't see certain things and then to "fix" that, Google and Facebook stopped interoperating with xmpp and people said "hurray, no more broken stuff, thank you our giant tech overlords!"
I dunno, I prefer to think people, at least those here, tend to be a bit more tech savvy than the average user was back then. Maybe it's hopeful thinking though.
I think the people using the Fediverse is already seen weird by the majority. I'm ok with that.
I used to use xmpp, jabber, and ICQ. I one of a few in school that used it. It wasn't really popular to the general population. I would believe sms and smartphones really killed it.