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Russia’s economy is now completely driven by the war in Ukraine – it cannot afford to lose, but nor can it afford to win (theconversation.com)

submitted 8 months ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]

51 comments fedilink hide all child comments

Cross-posted from: https://feddit.de/post/9438338

Military pay, ammunition, tanks, planes, and compensation for dead and wounded soldiers, all contribute to the GDP figures. Put simply, the war against Ukraine is now the main driver of Russia’s economic growth.

And it is a war that Russia cannot afford to win. The cost of rebuilding and maintaining security in a conquered Ukraine would be too great, and an isolated Russia could at best hope to become a junior partner entirely dependent on China.

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[–] [email protected] 9 points 8 months ago* (last edited 8 months ago) (1 children)

There is a difference between saying " If we go in with all we got, we’ll be home by Christmas!" and "we need to prepare so if they come with all they got, they will not be home before Christmas".

It is not people feels pretty pre-WWI (at least pre-WWII) but on the other hand they don't want another post-WWI (or post-WWII)

And the only way is to be able to say to your enemy "don't even try to start" and meaning it.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 8 months ago

Russia can't even handle their war against Ukraine. Even if NATO maintains their status quo (which they aren't as pretty much NATO member is ramping up defense spending) Russia wouldn't be able to do much in a conventional war. But it wouldn't stay a conventional war for long, as nukes would quickly start flying.