this post was submitted on 23 Feb 2024
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What could go wrong you ask? It's right there... $43m a year... That doesn't get deducted from the profits of the speculators, it comes out of the equity in the homes that get sold. The flippers aren't gonna eat the tax, they're going to add it to the cost of the homes they flip.
The law isn't going to mitigate flipping much, it's going to add $43m/year to the amount home prices increase by, and when people see the neighbors house values go up, they'll demand more for their non-flip sales as well.
It doesn't take a mathematician to realize that a 20% price hike every time a home is sold is an impossibility. It will absolutely have an effect on flipping volume and turnover duration.
Ehh, I'm not so sure. If a majority of the houses are the market are ones that were flipped, maybe. But if they are significantly above average market rate to recoup the tax, they'll probably have a hard time selling.