UK Politics

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General Discussion for politics in the UK.
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By-election betting market probabilities (as of 1 July) (kbin.social)

submitted 1 year ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]

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Uxbridge and South Ruislip - 20 July:

Lab 95%
Con 5%

Selby and Ainsty - 20 July:

Lab 63%
Con 37%

Somerton and Frome - 20 July:

Lib Dem 93%
Con 2%

Mid-Bedfordshire - tbc:

Lib Dem 62%
Con 31%
Lab 7%

Rutherglen and Hamilton West - tbc:

Lab 89%
SNP 1%

Source: Betfair Exchange (mid odds, converted to probabilities).

Note: some of these markets aren't that liquid so the prices may add up to less than 100%.

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[–] [email protected] 4 points 1 year ago

Love to see it, this government deserves to lose every single seat