Olivia Chow Elected
Update:
The polling stations are now closed. We should have final results in a short time. I'll try to keep this thread up to date with the preliminary results over this evening.
There are quite a number of candidates (102, I believe!) as such, I will not be listing all of them here. I'll have links to the official results when they start coming in if you are curious about some of the lesser-known candidates.
RESULTS (Last updated at 11:59PM ET)
| Candidate |
Percent |
| Chow |
37.2% |
| Bailão |
32.5% |
| Saunders |
8.6% |
| Furey |
5.0% |
| Matlow |
4.9% |
| Hunter |
2.9% |
| Brown |
2.6% |
You can find the official results here: https://electionresults.toronto.ca/
Here are some of the most recent polls for the top candidates. We'll see how close to the mark they were tonight.
POLLS
| Polling Firm |
Date |
Chow |
Bailão |
Saunders |
Matlow |
Furey |
Hunter |
Bradford |
| Mainstreet |
June 25 |
36 |
30 |
9 |
8 |
8 |
5 |
1 |
| Liaison |
June 25 |
32 |
22 |
15 |
8 |
10 |
5 |
2 |
| Forum |
June 23 |
29 |
20 |
15 |
8 |
11 |
5 |
3 |
| Viewpoints |
June 19 |
35 |
12 |
16 |
10 |
10 |
6 |
8 |
| Ipsos |
June 13 |
38 |
12 |
14 |
8 |
7 |
6 |
6 |
METHODOLOGY
| Polling Firm |
Sample Size |
MOE |
Method |
| Mainstreet |
1030 |
3.1% |
IVR |
| Liason |
1008 |
3.1% |
IVR |
| Forum |
1037 |
3.0% |
IVR |
| Viewpoints |
1007 |
N/A |
Online |
| Ipsos |
1001 |
N/A |
Online |
Tory miscalculated by leaving his endorsement too late. If folks are grumbling about the result, that's probably the clearest thing that could've moved the dial towards another candidate.