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Heavy election defeat could lead to Tory lurch to right, analysis shows (www.theguardian.com)

submitted 11 months ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]

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A catastrophic election defeat could lead to the parliamentary Conservative party tilting towards the populist right, Guardian analysis has indicated.

A projection of the seats the Conservatives would retain if there was a further two percentage point swing to Labour before election day, using data from Electoral Calculus, shows that about 40% of the remaining MPs would come from this wing of the party.

In less calamitous defeats – scenarios based on current polling levels, and on a situation where there is a two percentage point swing in favour of the Tories – the proportion would be nearer to 30%, roughly where it is now.

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[–] [email protected] 6 points 11 months ago

It will keep them out of power until they pull themselves back to the centre. Labour go off to the left when kicked out, Conservatives go off to the right when kicked out. Not going to be fun with the worry of Tory mirror Corybn. That's going to be terrifying.