Baldur's Gate 3

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Baldur’s Gate 3 is a story-rich, party-based RPG set in the universe of Dungeons & Dragons, where your choices shape a tale of fellowship and betrayal, survival and sacrifice, and the lure of absolute power. (Website)

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Honor Mode Miss Chance Apophenia (self.baldurs_gate_3)

submitted 10 months ago by seventh_days to c/baldurs_gate_3

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I have growing doubts of the statistical randomness of attacks in honor mode with karmic dice disabled. I'm talking about multi-attack with action surge completely whiffing when the chance to hit is 75% or greater and rogues with advantage that couldn't hit the broadside of a barn. (1/4)^2 is 6.25% so across hundreds of rounds it's going to happen many times, but fuck if it isn't disheartening seeing everyone and their mother dodging like a windwalking Muhammad Ali on coke.

It's not even as if it's a soft way of making the game more difficult because while enemy chance to hit isn't shown, my characters appear just as overpowered when it comes to dodging (usually...).

This belief runs afoul of every gambler's fallacy, but all the same I'm looking to commiserate with others seeking the golden dice.

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[–] [email protected] 2 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago)

Karmic dice are not random. They try to reduce your number of streaks of successes and failures, so if you have highly competent characters they'll sabotage you more than they actually help. That's not how real dice behave.

I never play with karmic dice.

Look, somebody did the math.