this post was submitted on 17 Dec 2023
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Not being legal means we would immediately be at war. There is no mechanism within our current constitution for a state/entity to legally secede. Texas is unlikely to survive a war with the rest of the US, especially since all current US assets would leave the state.
In practice, secession comes for good reason, and the long term optics and/or diplomatic relations of civil war are very bad.
If the public sentiment of Texas truly was that they feel disenfranchised and disconnected from the US, not even a civil war would keep them in line.
This is the real threat in the Basque and Northern Ireland, not the hundreds of lives lost in a one sided military action, but the divides in society, the armed and executive branches, as well as the growing public dissent over the distaste of oppressing your neighbour.