this post was submitted on 30 Nov 2023
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Discussion of climate, how it is changing, activism around that, the politics, and the energy systems change we need in order to stabilize things.

As a starting point, the burning of fossil fuels, and to a lesser extent deforestation and release of methane are responsible for the warming in recent decades: Graph of temperature as observed with significant warming, and simulated without added greenhouse gases and other anthropogentic changes, which shows no significant warming

How much each change to the atmosphere has warmed the world: IPCC AR6 Figure 2 - Thee bar charts: first chart: how much each gas has warmed the world. About 1C of total warming. Second chart: about 1.5C of total warming from well-mixed greenhouse gases, offset by 0.4C of cooling from aerosols and negligible influence from changes to solar output, volcanoes, and internal variability. Third chart: about 1.25C of warming from CO2, 0.5C from methane, and a bunch more in small quantities from other gases. About 0.5C of cooling with large error bars from SO2.

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‘Don’t be naive like I was’: UK academic advises Cop28 attenders to stay safe | Matthew Hedges, tortured in UAE in 2018, tells reporters and activists to take clean phones and watch who they deal with (www.theguardian.com)
submitted 11 months ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]
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[–] neanderthal 2 points 11 months ago (1 children)

Here is the thing. Being wrong leads to torture, imprisonment, or death.

That is the minimum as a tourist or business that doesn't intersect with their interests.

As an activist or journalist, when they review the visa application, that puts a target on them. They are a direct threat to the control that these governments will do anything to maintain. In the aforementioned book, Mitnick cited a case where he was in Columbia. Someone entered his hotel room while we was at dinner and swapped out the drive in his laptop with their own.

Another case showing the power of the state to find someone they don't like. A drug kingpin in Australia was caught because even though he had several burner phones, he sometimes used more than one burner phone within too short of a time frame at the same physical location. Their police were able to use the cellular data to find him, even though he went through none of the phones were tied to his identity. This is just a criminal nuisance, not someone that threatens their economy, reputation, and control.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 11 months ago

For sure. The odds of torture, imprisonment, or death for first-world activists during COP28 is pretty low - they're a lot more likely to follow their history of using wiretaps.