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Well Taiwan can either go with the US or China. They've been wanting to stay independent from China for a while now so I don't think it's much of a surprise.
Almost all countries other than USA, Russia, and China have to pick a side.
I mean Russia is pretty close to needing to pick a side.
Well, their economy isn’t collapsing any time soon. And they managed to destroy modern military systems supplied by NATO.
Hasn’t their economy already shrunk by 5% since the war began?
Seems like they’re going to become a vassal state of China.
I've been saying for the last couple of months that Xi is in a perfect position to reclaim the Vladivostok oblast. The native population is over 40% Han, not just Chinese, the type of Chinese the CCP gives a shit about. He could easily appear strong internally, and reclaim former Chinese territory that the Russians invaded in 1901, under the excuse of "a special military operation to defend the ethnic Chinese people in the region." I seriously doubt that any other country other than Russia would even bat an eye, and Russia would be impotent to defend itself.
This would also give China a port that is outside of the first chain of islands that the US has set up
China been dreaming of this for decades.
That's what I thought too, but Tankies are insistent that Taiwan is the only goal.
Yeah but nukes.
China probably has more working nukes than Russia. Maintenance hasn't been their strong suit, making them a liability. I wouldn't be surprised if 9/10 aren't working, or will malfunction on launch, causing Russia to nuke themselves, and the best part is they don't even know which ones actually got maintained.
Just need one, you gonna trade Beijing for a shot at Vladivostok?
Not my call. If it was I would stop hacking the West, and start an organized campaign of their professional hackers to shut down Russian government servers, target the most recently made Russian nukes to destroy them with long range supersonic cruise missiles, send half my Chinese fleet to sink the Black Sea Fleet, and finally start my uncontested ground invasion. They could probably kill Putin in the process since I'm certain that Chinese Intelligence knows where he is, thereby ensuring enough Russian confusion that nukes will never be deployed. I may even ask the west to just kinda ignore the shit I'm about to do, but I don't know how strong the Chinese and EU relations are.
But, again, not my call.
Gotta get a lot of things absolutely right and I’m doubtful any military is gonna take a risk like that with a razor thin margin for error. Much better to probably wait until there’s civil unrest in Russia and move in to stabilize that region temporarily given the Han population in the region as your excuse. Then just never leave.
If someone has access to the missiles and wants to destroy the country the easiest way wouldn't be to preventing them to launch. It would be making them explode without launching.
by the same logic, is Russia gonna trade its existence to land one nuke?
Probably gonna send a lot more than one and their nuclear doctrine states that they will in the proposed scenario.
He’s going to have to do something, they’re going to have their own economic issues to deal with…
Their gdp is production of weapons right now. After they lose no one is going to want these weapons and they have been produced for the trash.
My point is it's not real growth.
I mean yeah, but the EU is also an available Option
When it comes to military, EU is basically NATO which is led by USA.
Europe could stand against Russia without American support. probably not China though. china couldn't attack any American aligned state without facing humiliation though
So US then?
It is, but I wouldn't count on our potential to wage an effective modern war in functional cooperation with the many countries in the EU. Especially when it is a war taking place out of Europe and not a defensive action.
A militaristic endeavor would surely be held up and manipulated by opposing countries within the alliance, just like it is now with economic decisions.
I’m highly biased but that seems like an easy choice, geography notwithstanding.