this post was submitted on 17 Oct 2023
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Life starting in roughly the same cosmological era wouldn’t result in civilizations of comparable advancement because a civilization’s advancement is many orders of magnitude faster than cosmological evolution.
If we encountered human civilization from 1,000 years in the future we might not be able to understand or recognize it.
But the first half, that the complexity of life increases at a predictable rate at least would put all life on an even footing, still a ton of room for random. But it's hard to say if we should assume we had good luck, bad luck, or average luck.