this post was submitted on 12 Oct 2023
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[–] [email protected] 8 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Reductions in population will happen after the climate change issues go unresolved when they needed to be, and resource scarcity forces an economic global crisis never seen in modern history. It won’t be gradual. Every pop model predicts going from 10B to 1B in less than 100 years post vertex. Or at least it seems if we stay on the track we are on.

[–] _bac 2 points 1 year ago (1 children)

any references for said models?

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/09/learning/whats-going-on-in-this-graph-nov-15-2023.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare

Bunch of models on one chart there. The dark red line is if all rates of fertility were the same as the US. The other lines are other global models.