this post was submitted on 22 Aug 2023
38 points (97.5% liked)

UK Politics

3090 readers
40 users here now

General Discussion for politics in the UK.
Please don't post to both [email protected] and [email protected] .
Pick the most appropriate, and put it there.

Posts should be related to UK-centric politics, and should be either a link to a reputable news source for news, or a text post on this community.

Opinion pieces are also allowed, provided they are not misleading/misrepresented/drivel, and have proper sources.

If you think "reputable news source" needs some definition, by all means start a meta thread. (These things should be publicly discussed)

Posts should be manually submitted, not by bot. Link titles should not be editorialised.

Disappointing comments will generally be left to fester in ratio, outright horrible comments will be removed.
Message the mods if you feel something really should be removed, or if a user seems to have a pattern of awful comments.

[email protected] appears to have vanished! We can still see cached content from this link, but goodbye I guess! :'(

founded 1 year ago
MODERATORS
 

Westminster Voting Intention:

๐ŸŒน LAB: 50% (+4) ๐ŸŒณ CON: 25% (-4) ๐Ÿ”ถ LDM: 9% (-3) ๐ŸŒ GRN: 7% (+2) โžก๏ธ RFM: 4% (=) ๐ŸŽ—๏ธ SNP: 3% (+1)

Via @DeltapollUK, 17-21 Aug. Changes w/ 9-11 Aug.

Flavible:

Party Pred % Pred Seats
CON ๐ŸŒณ 25.0% 130
LAB ๐ŸŒน 50.0% 427
LD ๐Ÿ”ถ 9.0% 35
REFUK โžก๏ธ 4.0% 0
Green ๐ŸŒ 7.0% 1
SNP ๐ŸŽ—๏ธ 3% 31
PC ๐Ÿ’ฎ 1% 4

Electoral Calculus (2023 Boundaries'):

Party 2019 Votes 2019 Seats Pred Votes Gains Losses Net Change Pred Seats
CON ๐ŸŒณ 44.7% 376 25.0% 0 297 -297 79
LAB ๐ŸŒน 33.0% 197 50.0% 330 0 +330 527
LIB ๐Ÿ”ถ 11.8% 8 9% 11 2 +9 17
Reform โžก๏ธ 2.1% 0 4% 0 0 +0 0
Green ๐ŸŒ 2.8% 1 7% 0 0 +0 1
SNP ๐ŸŽ—๏ธ 4.0% 48 3.1% 0 44 -44 4
PlaidC ๐Ÿ’ฎ 0.5% 2 0.4% 1 0 +1 3
Other โฌœ๏ธ 1.1% 0 1.1% 1 0 +1 1
N.Ire โฌœ๏ธ - 18 - 0 0 +0 18

Scotland EC Break-Down (๐Ÿ‘€)

Con Lab Lib REF Green SNP
15% 45% 4% 1% 3% 31%
you are viewing a single comment's thread
view the rest of the comments
[โ€“] [email protected] 3 points 1 year ago (1 children)

That would be an absolutely crushing result.

[โ€“] [email protected] 5 points 1 year ago (1 children)

They say you should never interrupt your enemy while he's making a mistake, and on that basis Starmer hasn't had to say a word.

[โ€“] [email protected] 7 points 1 year ago

He's definitely not making Corbyn's mistake of announcing new ideas or Miliband's mistake of eating a bacon buttie. Genius really.