this post was submitted on 17 Aug 2023
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[–] [email protected] -2 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Death rates aren't a feeling. I want some hard numbers.

I feel like we just don't care if we live or die anymore.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 year ago (2 children)

I know I've read reports about the latest variants being much less deadly. I did see one study recently which for patients presenting to hospital covid was a few percentage points more likely to result in death compared to hospitalized flu patients. There were a lot more covid patients though.

Found it:

death rates among people hospitalized for COVID-19 were 17% to 21% in 2020 vs 6% in this study, while death rates for those hospitalized for influenza were 3.8% in 2020 vs 3.7% in this study

https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2803749

So there is some data backing up the feelings I've gotten from everything I've been hearing and seeing.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 1 year ago (1 children)

So that's almost twice as bad as the flu.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 1 year ago (1 children)

I mean, that's one way to look at it. I looked at it as only a couple percent higher death rate than the flu. Either way, a little less than 2x is way better than like 5x worse.

[–] [email protected] -4 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Obviously it's better than before, but it's also worth keeping in mind these deaths are in addition to the flu.

Also, there are good and bad flu seasons. I see no reason for COVID to not be the same.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Even if we pedantically accept that 'almost double' is really 'just a few percent higher' while we're looking at a single digit likelihood, 'just a few percent more' than for the flu is a lot more people in overall numbers with something that spreads far quicker than the flu. We could get the death rate of Covid down to ½ the rate for the flu but if infections are more than double (this is just an example, I don't know the actual stats on this one), it still means Covid would be more deadly. Unless I'm missing something obvious.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago (1 children)

COVID is basically a year round disease where flu is seasonal. So yeah it's gonna produce about an order of magnitude more death with just a few percent higher death rate.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago

That's how I understood it, too. Turns out it's a difficult thing to comprehend, though.

[–] Mbourgon 0 points 1 year ago (1 children)

There’s one crucial thing you overlooked in this: in 2020, most people hadn’t been infected, and hadn’t gotten the vaccine (because there was no vaccine until December,and even then it was in extremely short supply). Now, most people have some sort of immunity, be it from vaccine or from a prior infection. That definitely skews the hospitalization numbers downward. You can’t compare then and now, unfortunately, since there’s no real community that hasn’t been vaccinated and hasn’t caught it - and so you can’t compare their numbers.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago (2 children)

That's fair, but I think you can still compare it to the flu, which is not that far off from covid percentage wise. At this point both the flu and covid should be at an equal level of people having vaccines and natural antibodies, right? Even if you go with covid being about twice as deadly as the flu, twice as deadly as almost nothing is still almost nothing.

[–] Mbourgon 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

I’m sure “almost nothing” is quite comforting for the families of the 1.1 million Americans who died.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago

I'm sorry, but people die of lots of different things all the time, it sucks but it's a part of life

[–] [email protected] 0 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Hundreds of thousands of Americans will die this year from COVID. Sure, almost nothing. Just a 9/11 every two weeks or so.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Thousands die every day from tons of other stuff also, just a part of life.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 1 year ago (2 children)
[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)
[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)
[–] [email protected] 0 points 1 year ago (1 children)

That reality is reality? People die of lots of different things, I'm sorry I'm that's news to you.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

It's the problem that people like you let this be reality. That we just dismiss millions of preventable deaths as mere statistics rather than doing simple and easy things like wearing masks during pandemics.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago

I wore one when I was required to and didn't wear one when I wasn't, so sorry for following the rules?