this post was submitted on 16 Aug 2023
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That's actually a much more likely situation, sinc all of these sites use the monthly active users of it's main metric, and it's been 2 months since Reddit shot itself in the foot.
Honestly, I was so close to not using Lemmy at all. It looked so alien to me, like is this really the next most popular community website to Reddit? But no matter how clunky and unintuitive it was, I was determined to make it work. After some good third party apps, I'm more than satisfied.
However, can't be said for everyone. It's clear most people made an account, had no idea what an "instance" was, and then just gave up. Lemmy should invest in making their main website easy to learn and get the hang of, and try to become more popular, accessible, and branch out. Some might say how small it is gives it charm, but undeniably more people (maybe not on one instance) is better.
What this first wave has done is moved over a lot of early adopters, those types of people overlap with innovators.
Lemmy improved massively during the wave, and we are now getting great apps.
I for one will push for making signing up for an account in Thunder possible, so we can build better UX around joining Lemmy.
Lemmy itself has also seen a big jump in quality. There is now Photon, an alternative frontend that's a lot slicker, and can be installed by instances to replace the current webUI.
The next time something triggers people to go look for something else, Lemmy will be looking a lot more ready.