this post was submitted on 11 Aug 2023
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the world is going to be ruled and run by agi in 3-5 years and there's nothing anti-ai babies can do about it.
This is by far the funniest opinion.
The image generation AIs just barely figured out how to draw hands and the LLMs recently forgot how to do 2 + 2, and you think we're a few years out from AGI?
that's cute. it couldn't draw the ugliest dog 2 years ago.
The only thing stopping us from having AGI right now is that GPT-4 hallucinates too much to use it in a task engine. Like, slightly too much.
this can and is being improved drastically. the next iteration will likely be the last one needed. Repeating chained calla to a language model in a structured way to break down and organize problems into smaller problems for other instances to work on is the way to go.
I wish! Multiply it by ten and I might start thinking it's a kinda realistic timescale.
Depending on how you define "run by", then the only thing unpopular about this opinion is the timeframe.
Personally I don't think we're a lot longer than 5 years away from AGI. We'll see I guess.