this post was submitted on 02 Aug 2023
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[–] Adeptfuckup 6 points 1 year ago (2 children)

Hitch your tits and pucker up. We’re entering a new age of industry. Much like the original Industrial Revolution, technology is going to advance at an extremely rapid pace. Fusion, quantum computing supremacy. Just… wow. How far off is general AI with this new room temperature superconductor?

[–] drdabbles 13 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Fusion is no closer than ever before, and AGI is hilariously over hyped. Also no closer than ever before.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago (1 children)

And Fusion is pretty close to begin with. Commonwealth Fusion is well within their purpose time table so far. They don't need any new superconductors for their project.

[–] drdabbles -2 points 1 year ago
[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 year ago (3 children)

Stupid question probably - is computing power what is holding back general AI? I've not heard that.

[–] drdabbles 14 points 1 year ago (1 children)

What's holding back AGI is a complete lack of progress toward anything like intelligence. What we have now isn't intelligent, it's multi-variable probability.

[–] JGrffn 4 points 1 year ago (2 children)

It's not that it's not intelligent, it's that predictive language models are obviously just one piece of the puzzle, and we're going to need all the pieces to get to AGI. It's looking incredibly doable if we figured out how to make something that's dumb but sounds smarter than most of us already. We just need to connect it to other models that handle other things better.

[–] drdabbles 1 points 1 year ago

You don't speak predictively. It's not one of the pieces, it's a parlor trick.

[–] knotthatone 4 points 1 year ago

Simply throwing computing power at the existing models won't get us general AI. It will let us develop bigger and more complex models, but there's no guarantee that'll get us closer to the real thing.