this post was submitted on 18 Jul 2023
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It won’t go the way of segway. It’ll go the way of FLASH. Flash was a great tool for creating all sorts of engaging content, but the reason that it went away is because of the sorts of people that adopted it and how it was used. By that I mean advertisers. So people began to associate flash with sketchy advertisements, scams, and obnoxious web design. So even though it was great for all sorts of things, people abandoned it because the people who used it the most were making crap. AI will go like that. Not all AI is equal and some of it will be around forever, but I suspect that most LLMs will run their course because they’re going to be used by advertisers and other ne’er do wells to make cheap content cheaply and people will get sick of that pretty fast.
Flash went away because other better alternatives appeared. And then iPhone launched without support for it, which pushed the drive to move away from Flash.