this post was submitted on 27 Dec 2024
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It's a basic argument of generative complexity, I found the article some years ago while trying to find an earlier one (I don't think by the same author) that argued along the same complexity lines, essentially saying that if we worked like AI folks think we do we'd need to be so and so much trillion parameters and our brains would be the size of planets. That article talked about the need for context switching in generating (we don't have access to our cooking skills while playing sportsball), this article talks about the necessity to be able to learn how to learn. Not just at the "adjust learning rate" level, but mechanisms that change the resulting coding, thereby creating different such contexts, or at least that's where I see the connection between those two. In essence: To get to AGI we need AIs which can develop their own topology.
As to "rudeness": Make sure to never visit the Netherlands. Usually how this goes is that I link the article and the AI faithful I pointed it out to goes on a denial spree... because if they a) are actually into the topic, not just bystanders and b) did not have some psychological need to believe (including "my retirement savings are in AI stock") they c) would've come across the general argument themselves during their technological research. Or came up with it themselves, I've also seen examples of that: If you have a good intuition about complexity (and many programmers do) it's not unlikely a shower thought to have. Not as fleshed out as in the article, of course.
That seems a very reasonable approach on the impossibility to achieve AGI with current models..
The first concept I was already kind of thinking about. Current LLM are incredibly inefficient. And it seems to be some theoretical barrier in efficiency that no model has been able to surpass. Giving that same answer that with the current model they would probably need to have trillions of parameters just to stop hallucinating. Not to say that to give them the ability to do more things that just answering question. As this supposedly AGI, even if only worked with word, it would need to be able to do more "types of conversations" that just being the answerer in a question-answer dialog.
But I had not thought of the need of repurpose the same are of the brain (biological or artificial) for doing different task on the go, if I have understood correctly. And it seems pretty clear that current models are unable to do that.
Though I still think that an intelligent consciousness could emerge from a loop of generative "thoughts", the most important of those probably being language.
Getting a little poetical. I don't think that the phrase is "I think therefore I am", but "I can think 'I think therefore I am' therefore I am".
Does a dog have the Buddha nature?
...meaning to say: Just because you happen to have the habit of identifying your consciousness with language (that's TBH where the "stuck in your head" thing came from) doesn't mean that language is necessary, or even a component of, consciousness, instead of merely an object of consciousness. And neither is consciousness necessary to do many things, e.g. I'm perfectly able to stop at a pedestrian light while lost in thought.
What Descartes actually was getting at is "I can't doubt that I doubt, therefore, at least my doubt exists". He had a bit of an existential crisis. Unsolicited Advice has a video about it.
It may be because of the habit.
But when I think of how to define a consciousness and divert it from instinct or reactiveness (like stopping at a red light). I think that something that makes a conscience a conscience must be that a conscience is able to modify itself without external influence.
A dog may be able to fully react and learn how to react with the exterior. But can it modify itself the way human brain can?
A human being can sit alone in a room and start processing information by itself in a loop and completely change that flux of information onto something different, even changing the brain in the process.
For this to happen I think some form of language, some form of "speak to yourself" is needed. Some way for the brain to generate an output that can be immediately be taken as input.
At this point of course this is far more philosophical than technical. And maybe even semantics of "what is a conscience".
As per current psychology's view, yes, even if to a smaller extent. There are problems with how we define conscience, and right now with LLMs most of the arguments are usually related to the Chinese room and philosophical zombie thought experiments, imo