this post was submitted on 17 Dec 2024
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[–] Buffalox 15 points 1 day ago* (last edited 19 hours ago) (1 children)

IDK if the claim that wages in weapons industry have increased to 5 times of what it was at the beginning of the war is true. That sounds extreme even for Russia. But apart from that every single point made in the video appear to be true.

If you have seen my comments early on, and later around the times of the increased central bank interest rate to 21%, and the decline of the Ruble, You have seen I've made the exact same claims. And predicted this trend already more than a year ago.

Russian economy is not just overheating, it's both declining and overheating at the same time. Which kind of camouflages the already ongoing collapse. Talking about the Russian economy possibly collapsing, is disregarding the fact that it's already collapsing. It's just a slow collapse, because the government has had a war chest of money to pump into the economy. But we have now passed the point where more money can help the economy, because there is worker shortage, and it just blows up inflation.

Possibly the next sign of this ongoing collapse will be widespread use of food stamps, like they used in the late 80's when the Soviet Union collapsed.
When that happens, it's a sign that the end for the Russian federation is near.
Food stamps are very likely IMO, because without them, inflation will cause widespread starvation already 2025 among ordinary pensioners and the poor.

[–] [email protected] 9 points 1 day ago (1 children)
[–] Buffalox 2 points 22 hours ago* (last edited 21 hours ago) (1 children)

I believe we are seeing the point where the collapse of the Russian federation becomes clear.
https://www.rbth.com/society/2013/10/16/a_look_at_the_old_ration_system_in_russia_30163

With Soviet Union it took a decade, but things are declining (collapsing) way faster in the Russian Federation today.
If this decline accelerates as hard as it looks, and Putin can't stop it, the Russian federation could collapse politically already this summer. But it could drag out a couple of years. At that time, there will at the minimum be a regime change in Russia as I see it. As a result of a collapsed economy. Where the federal state simply can't function anymore.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 19 hours ago (1 children)

If Trump does not force peace before that.

[–] Buffalox 3 points 17 hours ago (1 children)
[–] [email protected] -3 points 11 hours ago

He could stop invading at any time.