this post was submitted on 02 Nov 2024
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Economy

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October surprise: Trump just blew a huge lead, and the Madison Square Garden rally started the drop, says top data scientist (fortune.com)
submitted 3 weeks ago by [email protected] to c/economy
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[–] LesserAbe 17 points 3 weeks ago

The article spent a lot of time speculating about the reasons why one candidate or the other had a lead, without providing any data. Then it gets to this guy's model, and it's based off predictit??

I think Harris pulls this off, but as problematic as some polls can be, betting markets are even less reliable. This article essentially means nothing.