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Jill Stein, Chase Oliver could cost Kamala Harris in Pennsylvania: Poll (www.newsweek.com)

submitted 2 months ago by return2ozma to c/[email protected]

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[–] jordanlund 11 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (1 children)

Unlikely since Stein and Oliver both draw from different groups.

Here's how PA played out in 2020:

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_United_States_presidential_election_in_Pennsylvania

Democratic - Joe Biden - 3,458,229 - 50.01%
Republican - Donald Trump - 3,377,674 - 48.84%
Libertarian - Jo Jorgensen - 79,380 - 1.15%

The Greens didn't even rate. But assuming the Libertarian votes (Oliver's party this time) would have all gone to Trump, that still wouldn't have been enough to flip the election. 3,457,054

[–] [email protected] 3 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago)

2020 is a a bad metric to use.

We are starting to see Republicans make concessions for independent voters. Trump is flip-flopping on weed and abortion to appeal to Libertarian voters. So far Democrats have not budged much on their key issue.