this post was submitted on 12 Aug 2024
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Guy reporting to Putin and Ukrainian chiefs have quite opposite interests to give estimations and I don't know how accurately you can draw lines on the maps, so I'd guess that the russian guy underestimates the area by a lot in a hope that his window doesn't suddenly break with his body and Ukraine likes to give a round number, even if reality is 830km² or whatever (I don't believe that they'd publicly lie about the area to be 3 times bigger than actual, but 20% on those cirumstances is pretty much just a rounding error).
It's also changing at a pretty good clip. I just did a summary of a Michael Kofman video from a couple days ago where he was talking about estimates of 350 square kilometers and "probably more by this point". If you're talking about anything from a couple of days ago, it's going to be rather outdated.