(Blue is Biden, Purple is Kamala, Orange is Newsom, Cyan is Whitmer, Burgundy is Obama)
this post was submitted on 18 Jul 2024
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Neoliberal
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BTW, if the reports that the big call against Biden where he refused to backdown quietly, the one that was supposed to end the 'quiet' phase of the revolt and be followed up with them all going public...if the reports are true that it ended less than an hour before the shooting...dear god that timing is hillarious. It would explain both the slower than normal response from officials to what happened(all busy prepping for something else that night and Sunday morning) and it effectively bought Biden 4 extra days and has seemingly staggered the response that did finally break this morning a bit since it's not as total as some predicted at least today.
Maybe that's why the roll call got delayed(I saw a bunch of people phrasing it as 'Biden faction trying to push it ahead", but no, like a week before the debate they agreed to meet on July 21st-23rd for a virtual roll call to nominate Biden to prevent issues in case Ohio caused problems again, that was the plan). It reads more like the Biden faction wanted to keep the original date as planned while the anti-Biden faction pushed hard for a delay another week, probably because with the shooting wasting a couple of days they no longer felt like they could get Biden to back down in time.
The fact it did get delayed a week shows us that internally the Anti-Biden faction right now has gained the upper hand and has more sway. Pre-Primaries or even just Before they End that would be enough to push him out, but the primaries ended on June 8th. Biden has the delegates. It's not going to be that easy. If he refuses to drop out they'd have to sway half his delegates to quit, or more if not all the ones who quit backed the same other candidate. That's nearly impossible. I smell the next 3 or 4 days being the make or break moment, if by the original roll call date he's holding firm they'll call it off and start trying to clean up his image.