this post was submitted on 15 Jul 2024
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[–] Chee_Koala 7 points 4 months ago (1 children)

We are experiencing record low birthrates globally, so rejoice!

[–] Gakomi -3 points 4 months ago (1 children)

Doubt it, in the last 20 years we grew from 7 billion to 8. When that number goes to 4 I will be happy!

[–] [email protected] 2 points 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago) (1 children)

Both can be true, that we're experiencing record low birth rates globally and that the global population is still increasing at the moment.

How?

  1. While birth rates in many countries have fallen below replacement rate, it's still not zero, which means people are still having babies.
  2. Due to advances in health science, the death rate has fallen.

These two factors, especially decades earlier, mean that population hasn't yet fallen. However:

  1. Non-existent humans will not produce babies.
  2. The older the population is on the average, the higher the death rate will be.

This means that if I don't produce offspring, my non-existent offspring will not produce babies. The less babies are produced, the older the population would be, and the higher the death rate will be. If current trends continue, the death rate will overtake the birth rate, and the population will shrink.

Outside of a worldwide disaster that kills off people of child-bearing age, population will still rise before it levels off and then fall off as more and more people find less and less appealing to raise children. This is just a consequence of us humans not dying immediately after childbirth, and us humans as a whole making offspring at a certain age (say, 20 years old). These two factors explain the lag between childbirth figures and population growth.

[–] Gakomi -1 points 4 months ago (1 children)

Ok then we talk in 50 years and if the population is still above 4 billion I still will have a problem with this!

[–] [email protected] 0 points 4 months ago (1 children)

If you have such a problem with too many people existing, do something about it. IDK.

[–] Gakomi 1 points 4 months ago

I'm a nobody on the internet do I look like I got access to all the nuclear codes or something ? Simply put I can't you can't and no one can!