this post was submitted on 23 May 2024
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[–] Maggoty 1 points 6 months ago (1 children)

We could stop the Yemenis. But it would take far more manpower and material than anyone in the US is willing to commit right now. We could go to the fortress village concept; and just generally go full scale COIN. It would stop the attacks. It would also cost a trillion dollars over a couple years and probably turn into a transitional government and peacekeeping mission.

[–] UnderpantsWeevil 1 points 6 months ago (1 children)

We could stop the Yemenis

The same way we stopped the Iraqis, the Afghanis, and the Vietnamese, sure.

We could go to the fortress village concept; and just generally go full scale COIN.

Trying to teach another generation of 19 year olds broken Arabic before throwing them into a literal mine field?

We could try it. But I can't imagine it would boost enlistment rates

[–] Maggoty 2 points 6 months ago (1 children)

Enlistment? Shit at the rate we're getting into fights we're going to need conscription anyways. Let's just get it over with. /s

The only reason we have shortages is because they cannibalized an entire generation. Turns out when you keep fighting you go right through the pool of eligible volunteers.

And hey I didn't say we'd leave a stable state behind. Just that we'd stop the attacks.

[–] UnderpantsWeevil 1 points 6 months ago

And hey I didn’t say we’d leave a stable state behind. Just that we’d stop the attacks.

I mean, it helps to understand the political situation in Yemen up to this point. Its already functionally been in and out of civil war for the last decade. The Houthis currently lobbing bombs into the Gulf of Adan are the same insurgents that Saudi-backed Yemen officials have been fighting with since the Obama Era.

Then you've got the other side of the Gulf, where pirate communities across Somalia were already a perpetual nuisance for major shipping. They've been raising the insurance rates on this boats well before the Houthis started playing Battleship with merchant vessels. This isn't a new problem for the US Navy. Its simply a numbers game. Too many ships to protect and too many potential pirating crews to combat.

The cost-efficient solution appears to be to send everyone around the Horn of Africa again, rather than trying your luck in the Canal.