The future is bleak. I definetly see the pathway to formal NATO intervention, but that would destroy any ability make the eastern pivot.
The escalation is far from over, with f16s and God knows what else on the way, but it seems the US is trying to pivot while maintaining face, and thus soft power. I expect the conflict will eventually be "frozen", atleast until Russian stockpiles are ready for a proper offensive.
Unfortunately I am more concerned about the political consequences of doing such. WWIII may happen or not, but it's almost a certainty that facist and facist adjacent types will benefit greatly in the coming elections.
Le Pen is basically a shoe in at this point, Macron has so thoroughly burned through electoral trust. Of course Meloni already won, and undoubtedly will be strengthened. Trump is very likely to return to the Whitehouse, and how he handles the situation is unclear. It'll be interesting to see how the Torries fair in a general since Labour isn't doing too well either. AFD is still on the rise, even in South America many bourgeois are reacting to the economic fallout by couping soc dems like Castillo. Freaking we might see another Fujimori facist leading Peru again.
It feels like the 1930s all over again. Facist rise as liberals dogmatically enforce the very capitalism that creates facism. Whether WWIII arrives from facism, I am not sure.
Perhaps a bit individualist of me, but I do feel there are many that have turned this into a pet project. Especially Biden and Blinken, their careers now live or die by at least stretching the conflict and maintaining its intensity.
They have no choice, to backdown now would be to admit to the warhawk faction they are totally incapable. It'll be Afghanistan pullout 2.0 but 10x politically devastating. The Republicans would riot.
Isn't this deflation?
It was all terribly written. They've all since "revised" expectations. I've been reading a lot of simplicius, and it all makes sense under the context of manufacturing consent to send more garbage to Ukraine.
The reason media changes their expectations so quickly is because they aren't actually reporting anything. They are simply trying to manipulate reactionary voters to keep voting for the liberals. Of course opportunistic right wingers are taking advantage of this and dunking on liberal media for rightfully being delusional and fake news. So they have no choice but to "revise" their previous expectations to be more in line with reality, or be totally eviscerated by right wingers.
So much delusion, what good is sending equipment piecemeal to Ukraine?
I believe .ml is just the domain name. Apparently Mali?
Would lemmy.ml ever cut federation with lemmygrad? I feel like your average reddit refugee just joins lemmy.ml and calls it good. Plus the devs seem against segregating lemmygrad.
Say it isn't so, also ironic all these "think of the people takes" don't take 2 seconds to realize that a lot of people look at the situation and see the exact opposite for the same stated reason. Almost like wars aren't hollywood films with diametric good vs evil plot lines. It's like real life or something.
It's amazing seeing even the most deluded NAFO trolls spinning their heads trying to understand the situation. For us it's easy. Ukraine has to justify themselves to their western investors. For the average NAFO zombie, to admit such would prove the war is a proxy conflict between NATO and Russia, and Ukraine has no real agency. Thus they invent strange parallel realities where the Ukranian Army is run by idiots that ram their heads into a brick wall.
Of course they have no choice, these losses are just what happens when you're out numbered, out gunned, and still attempt an offensive. The high command in Kiev knows this. But they certainly aren't going to tell the NAFO idiots that.