Lotteries are generally regulated but corruption isn't unheard of.
But outside regulated state sponsored lotteries - it's safe to assume it's crooked in one way or another.
steventhedev
joined 2 years ago
If the expected value is positive, then by all means you should play the lottery. Just bear in mind that the utility of money is nonlinear, so Kelly will overextend you - use something like max log-value and rederive.
The only time this happens are either scratch off tickets that are horribly broken or rolling-jackpot lotteries where you can win what other people put in before you.
I wouldn't say fully dependent - there's local labor who are willing to step up especially in the face of the economic downturn of a war. More importantly, foreign labor is legally entitled to the same minimum wage as Israelis - this was historically exploited through various loopholes such that many Thai workers are receiving around 80% of minimum wage. Even in the face of a pricing shock, local food markets should reach equilibrium quickly, and Israel has avoided food subsidies outside of a handful of regulated products (basic white bread, milk, eggs, hard cheese). I don't foresee food security being an issue in Israel to the point they need to import food outside of stabilizing local prices or ensuring seasonal availability.
Palestinians won't be going to work inside Israel for a very long time. The US is trying to push that one through, but I think that's one they'll push back hard on - if you were Israeli, would you want to work with someone who supported what happened on October 7th?
Ranked 30th in the world by active military personnel. Ranked 13th in the world by reservists. Wikipedia
Most of the military aid goes towards purchasing Iron Dome interceptors at the moment - it's a uniquely bad idea to stop those from being delivered. The rest is containers full of random plastic crap like lunch trays - US foreign aid to Israel is actually a jobs program for states like Ohio in a way that minimizes the macroeconomic impact on the US.
Here's the short list of Channel 12 articles this could potentially be referring to:
- The cry of a resident of Gaza in front of the cameras: "Hamas steals all the aid" (Google Translate)
- "Sinwar, may Allah take revenge on you - release the abductees": Gaza residents make extraordinary statements against the Hamas leadership (Google Translate)
- The rage in Gaza about UNRA: the residents discovered - the warehouses are full of food and equipment that were not distributed (Google Translate)
Considering the reporting is largely pulling Al Jazeera and Gazan news sources, I'm inclined to believe this is both truthful and accurate but likely to be cherry-picked. Today's live blog includes images/video of large crowds outside UNRWA warehouses demanding to be allowed in, which if accurate would explain why Gazans are losing faith in Hamas.
The link works just fine for me.
Which lemmy client are you using?
The title of the linked article is "Israel moves into Gaza’s second-largest city and intensifies strikes in bloody new phase of the war", which appears to have been appended to the post URL: https://apnews.com/article/israel-hamas-war-news-12-05-2023-8f171da297b565e28156b88d1fc250b1 Israel moves into Gaza's second-largest city and intensifies strikes in bloody new phase of the war
Different things.
This article is about Biden saying that women were raped on October 7th.
The article you linked is about hostages being raped while they were being held in Gaza.
EDIT: the motivation of the IDF to publish that is to maximize the chances of the hostages coming back alive - if Hamas feel the hostages might do more damage after being released by confirming claims such as rape or sexual assault, the worry is that they will simply execute them.
totally dependent on aid from the West.
I think you're wrong about this. Israel is a net-exporter economically and grows its own food. Although admittedly, the majority was being grown in the region around Gaza and there are reports that many crops went unharvested.
This article has been removed by AP - the URL links to the live update stream from Dec 6th, and links from other articles to this one are similarly broken.
Was this article formally retracted?
Technically incorrect headline.
There are still 137 hostages being held in Gaza by various groups - who have not been seen by the ICRC in accordance with international law or the terms of the temporary truce. Among those, there are 12 hostages aged 18 and 19.
They haven't even released all of the kids - Shiri Bibas and her children: Ariel aged 4 and Kfir aged 10 months old.
From first principles, the goal of imprisonment is threefold:
- As punishment
- To protect society from the risk of recidivism
- To provide them with a stable environment to provide them with assistance aimed towards reducing recidivism.
Terrorists are motivated by ideology and without significant intervention are basically guaranteed to have 100% chance of repeating their acts.
I don't think keeping them in prison forever is a solution, but neither is sticking them in there for 10 years, clearly.
Kelly is the betting stake formula - just plug in the expected value and it will tell you how much of your money you should gamble to maximize your winnings over time. But it does that with more or less a 50-50 chance of you losing all your money. Because winning 10 dollars means a lot more to someone who makes minimum wage than a millionaire, you need to skew the formula to take that into account.
The easiest way to do that is to use the log-value of money, and rederive the kelly criterion based on that value instead.
From what I recall the math works out so that unless you have a substantial pile of money, the ideal number of lottery tickets is always between 0 and 1.