I very much doubt he'll be leaving the tunnels under Gaza
steventhedev
joined 2 years ago
nominally, I agree that the immediate motives are Bibi's self interest.
Strategically, this does drive a wedge between Hamas and Iran. Of the likely successors, Mashaal has had multiple conflicts with Iran, Abu Marzouk is a pragmatist who would probably start de-escalating, and al Hayya who is a hardliner. For two of those three, Hamas moves away from Iran which is probably a good thing for Israel.
Only time will tell though
About 20 years ago Hezbollah first started using guided anti-tank missiles. In some cases they are steering the missile all the way until impact. I'm sure details will come out soon, but you don't just randomly hit the field/playground in the middle of town by accident without trying at least a little bit.
I'm half convinced at this point that the whole couch thing is an intentional diversion from his actual politics
Hezbollah has been launching combination rocket/drone attacks along the entire northern border for the last 6 months. In the least week or two there have been several reports of hits without any warning sirens. I'm inclined to say that this is indicative of a shift in tactics and/or technology that has been shared, and may also impact the Ukraine war (the drones are the same Iranian design/manufacture).
This incident will draw lots of saber rattling against the Houthis, and there will probably be some air raids on Houthi military assets by various coalition forces. The ones to watch here are Saudi Arabia and Jordan - they both have the opportunity to earn some goodwill for relatively little risk and achieve their own goals at the same time.
I have no clue if the Houthis will attempt to escalate this with larger drone swarms. Their doctrine so far has been less than 20 daily, most of which are targeting ships or Eilat. But this is the first time they've directly targeted Tel Aviv.
Some social media sites run OCR on images and will shadow ban/ban you if you include a discussion about football in Scunthorpe.
Also a way to bypass nanny filters for the more repressed parts of society.
"He saw groups of men with sticks waiting for trucks to leave the Kerem Shalom crossing into Gaza. All trucks he passed were badly damaged, with broken windshields, mirrors and hoods."
My personal bias filled in the masks. I guess I was holding out hope that they had some fear of consequence left.
How exactly do you propose to "remove Israel"?
So your solution is just to destroy Israel?
Terrorism is not armed resistance