cygnosis

Literally? No. We're all subject to the same laws of physics.

Perceptual reality? World view? Yes. I only know one person in real life and not online (my wife) who shares some of my views of reality. For instance, I am a doomer. I am convinced we are well into the sixth, and by all accounts the most devastating, mass extinction. Humans are clever, but we depend on a stable environment for our food. That stable environment is turning into a series of alternating droughts, floods, fires, blizzards, and other extreme weather events. TBH, I'd be surprised if our species lasts to the end of the century. Hanson figures that, after feedbacks, we are on track for 10c of warming. That's apocalyptic. And every time scientists talk about it you hear words like 'faster than expected'. We are doing exactly nothing to prevent it, and are, in fact, accelerating the collapse by increasing our consumption, population, pollution, and environmental destruction. COP has been talking about it for so long (almost 30 years) that we've missed the boat. We are well past the point where we could stop it. We're in the 'find out' stage now.

Yet people keep having kids and planning for the future like everything is going to be just fine. Can you not see what's happening? When's the last time you scraped bugs off your car windshield? They're all dying out. The biosphere is collapsing around us. But sure, keep contributing to your 401K. Keep talking about how the 'fertility crisis' is the big issue. Keep thinking that somehow windmills and recycling are going to save the planet. Tell me more about how voting is going to fix the problem. I feel like Kate Dibiasky saying we're all going to die while everyone around me wants to talk about their PTA, the latest social issue, or which politician they like.

(deep breath)

Yes. I do feel like my perception of reality is different than most people I know. I don't know most of humanity so I can't really say, but it sure seems like it.

Here's a Fajita recipe we like.
https://plantbasedcookingshow.com/2021/08/07/vegan-fajitas/

It wouldn't delay your death. But it would make it more pleasant. You would most likely pass out from low blood pressure pretty quickly and then you wouldn't have to worry about starving any more.

Funny thing is, no matter how you arrange to do that it becomes a de-facto death ray. Stick a terawatt of solar panels in space, use the power to shine a laser/maser down to earth, then build a station to turn the laser power back to electricity? Great, until some hacker figures out how to control where the laser is pointed. Then you get Dr. Evil holding the world for ransom.

Did they train this chatbot on Donald Trump speeches?

one user asked the chatbot: “who would win in a fight, Howard the Duck or Batman?”.

The answer from the chatbot, verbatim, is:

Howard: I don’t think so. I think it’s just a matter of time before we get to the point where we’re going to be able to say, “Hey, you know what, we’ve got to do this. We’ve gotta do that.” And then we’ll have to figure out how to make it work. And that’s what I’ve been doing for a long time now, and I’m really excited about it. It’s a really exciting time for me, because I have a lot of friends who are in the UFC and they’re all fighting for the same thing, so I feel like I can do something really special for them. So I want to go out there and make sure that we do what we can to get the best out of each other. That’s the only way I know how. e’ve got to do this. We’ve gotta do that.” And then we’ll have to figure out how to make it work.

I've done some blacksmithing as a hobby. The two most common ways of heating the metal are a gas or a coal forge. The coal forge normally has some sort of forced air coming from the bottom to feed the fire. The coal starts burning real smoky like, but then turns to coke and burns hotter the more air you force through it. Typically you pile some coal around the sides of the fire so it converts to coke then you scoop it into the fire as needed. Also it produces a waste product called clinker that builds up at the bottom of the fire at the tuyere (the nozzle or grate the air is forced through). It's kind of like stone or metal and it needs to be cleaned out to keep the fire going.

Thanks for the correction. I remembered seeing that number but didn't analyze it in any depth. A more detailed analysis of the market, by Freddie Mac, concluded that there were four main drivers for the recent surge in prices, and investors weren't on the list.

1. record low mortgage rates in 2020 and 2021, and the race to beat future rate increases;
2. limited supply from underbuilding and below average distressed sales;
3. an increase in first-time homebuyers due to favorable age demographics; and
4. increased migration from high-cost cities to areas that already had a housing shortage.

Institutional investors apparently even reduced their purchases in 23 - some of them were even net sellers - because of prices and interest rates. That doesn't mean they aren't still villians in this scenario. I don't think big investors should own single family homes at all. But still they aren't as big a force as my previous comment indicated.

In support of your argument.

Report: 44% of all Single-Family Home Purchases were from Private Investors in 2023

edit: see corrections below

I understand your feelings of horror at the idea of what is coming. Your desire to reduce our impact on the climate is commendable. I share it and have structured my life to cause the least impact I can. I have no children. I generate my own power renewably, etc. But like I was saying, it doesn't matter. Every bit of fossil fuel I spare is going to be used by someone else. We make Paris accords and agreements and resolutions to reduce our consumption. But they are meaningless. Every time we make a 10% or 20% reduction in emissions per capita it is negated by growth in population. Our numbers continue to increase. And the CO2 we emit goes up every year.

The population of every other species on the planet is kept in check by limits on the resources available or they become a resource and are limited by predation. And so they live in balance with the environment, never exceeding the carrying capacity of the earth to support them. But we are clever enough to figure out how to use every available source of energy to keep increasing our population. We long ago exceeded the natural carrying capacity of the earth. We are now relying on fossil fuels to keep us alive. (I'll skip arguing why basing the survival of your population on a non-renewable resource is a bad idea. See William Catton: Overshoot to read about that.) And so we are stuck in a catch-22 in a few different ways.

First of all, if we just stopped using fossil fuels we wouldn't be able to produce enough food to sustain our numbers. We wouldn't be able to transport the food to the people. And we wouldn't be able to store it and cook it. Oh, but we don't have to stop, just reduce, one might say. As I already mentioned, that doesn't work. Every reduction we make is negated by more people needing to use their smaller amount.

The second catch-22 is the aerosol masking effect. Ironically our prodigious use of fossil fuels helps keep the earth cooler, but only as long as we continue to use them. Aerosols produced from fossil fuel use reflect a significant amount of solar radiation back into space. During the Covid-19 shutdown the reduced air traffic was enough to cause a noticeable increase in warming even though that is just one source of aerosols in the atmosphere.

And third, everyone deserves a chance at life. We are loath to say to the young "you can't live as well as your elders because we have to stop using energy." And there is no politically feasible way to control the growth of a population. China tried it and look how well that worked. We cannot control our population growth. It will continue to increase until some external force acts upon us to stop it. And with more people comes more energy use.

We already know that increasing CO2 is making climate change worse. We can't stop increasing CO2 emissions. Ergo climate change will continue to get worse. I haven't even mentioned how that's going to effect us, the impacts it will have on crop production around the world. Suffice to say that no matter how much we want to fix the problem, we can't. For decades scientists have been warning us we have to act now or it will be catastrophic. We never acted in a meaningful way. And now the consequences are upon us. There is no time to stop the car, we are already over the cliff. We just haven't hit bottom yet.

I watched it. It was a good looking show. And the origin story (which took over half the season I think) was well done. But where it really fell down is that none of the characters are likeable. At the end of the season I was kind of relieved it was over because I didn't care whether any of them lived or died.

If you want a big list of these check out https://www.kissthisguy.com/

Here's one from there

Like a virgin touched for the thirty-first time. Artist: Madonna Song: Like a Virgin Real Lyric: Like a virgin touched for the very first time.

So this is the Atheism community and dunking on christians is appropriate, but I just don't see it in this case. At this point it doesn't matter what you do. Buy an electric car, put up solar panels, grow all your food in your yard. You aren't going to stop climate change. You aren't even going to slow it down. According to this source we've already dumped over 1.5 trillion tons of CO2 into the atmosphere. This one says 2.4 trillion. About half of it has been absorbed into the oceans. The rest is driving an inexorable global warming. And we have no realistic way of removing that CO2. The best we have today is the Orca plant in Iceland which pulls 4,000 tons per year from the air. Occidental is promising another DAC plant that will remove 500,000 metric tons of CO2 per year. But given that we're currently emitting about 40 billion tons per year, that's not gonna do it. The climate is already reacting. People are already dying. James Hansen estimates that "Equilibrium global warming for today’s GHG amount is 10°C" unless we all just stop using fossil fuels and devote all our resources to removing CO2 from the air.

And I don't think there was ever another way for this to play out. Our whole history has been about finding the next better way of feeding our families and growing our population. And then we find fossil fuels. Make them into fertilizer, use them to power farm equipment, industry, wars, they looked like a gift and we used them to fuel the biggest growth of our population in history. What nation would say "no, I'd rather use mules and dung for farming. It's better for the earth." There was never any alternative. You could even say that it's our purpose as a species to find and consume all the available energy the planet has to offer. Now that we have around 8 billion people on the planet we have to keep using them just to feed ourselves.

No, I think if there were a god this would just prove that he hates us, knowing what would happen when we found fossil fuels and putting them there anyways.