Throw_away_migrator

Especially when people fuck with the ride height on their trucks. They almost always end up with the front higher than the back, relative to it's stock setting. Then don't bother to adjust the head light angle to compensate.

Then, on I need a massive light bar on the top of my truck. Never mind that I never take this thing off road or do any work with it. It looks cool and it's bright and shiny.

Fuck off. Can we just tax these things properly and not v give them a lower tax rate since their classed as commercial vehicles. No one buying these massive boats uses them for more than going to home Depot once a year to buy some leaf bags.

/Rant

Another data point yesterday was University of Miami (Ohio) poll of Ohio showing Trump+3 in Ohio. It's not as extreme a swing as the Selzer Iowa poll but it's a significant shift from 2016, 2020 and much of the polling this cycle.

So while the Selzer poll is out on a bit of an island, the Miami-Ohio poll certainly shows a similar swing.

I'm inclined towards pessimism, but it's hard not to feel there's some significant herding happening, and that the averages are being affected by it as well as some low quality pollsters flooding the data with polls

THIS is the Bad Place.gif

Then Ann Seltzer entered the chat. My goodness. I don't know if she just had an outlier or not. But you cannot accuse her of herding with that one

Translation: all the times Tesla has vowed that all of its vehicles would soon be capable of fully driving themselves may have been a convenient act of salesmanship that ultimately turned out not to be true."

There's a word for that already. Lied. They/He lied.

No need for 30 words when 2 will do.

They Lied.

There were a lot of garage firms this cycle. Flooding the averages with a particular bias.

My gut feeling is also that the larger, more credible polling outfits are herding a bit and are afraid of under sampling the same voters they under sampled the last 2 elections. Though this bit remains to be seen, as I said it's more a feeling than anything.

Edit: also to add on to my herding note. I find it odd that every projection system out there says it's close but also makes a point to hedge further and say that a landslide either way is plausible. It just adds to my feeling of herding and general ass covering.

Edit 2: just saw the Seltzer Iowa Poll. This post is about 5 hours old at time of edit. Maybe gut was onto something

Or.... Hear me out... JD Vance... Lied. You know, like a liar would. Like a man who admitted he makes up stories for media attention would. Because... He's a liar

I'd argue a lot of our current problems are directly descended from Nixon being pardoned and facing 0 consequences for his crimes.

I was wearing an onion on my belt, which was the fashion at the time

https://youtu.be/-MkRuV0aCcI?si=D4s4UxtQqjjt_-0u

I think your math is a bit off. It's more like 56.3% annually over 50 years

I think Anthony Jeselnik sums it up pretty well

https://youtu.be/4mCAl85hLkU?si=vwEMzE15kfHJMddV