Rarely. I don't think I ever have two years in a row.
Usually only if I'm very sure it's a game I will get a lot of playtime out of due to past titles. For instance, I did pre-order Civ 7 because prior Civs have been the best hours-enjoyed-per-dollar investments I've ever made. No exaggeration, even accounting for DLCs I bought at full price.
If you showed me this headline 10 years ago, I'd have guessed it was a mad lib. This timeline is crazy in a bad way.