ILikeTraaaains

The probability of each play are independent so you always have a probability of 0.75 of failing, doesn’t matter if you have one or one hundred previous failed outcomes.

People usually don’t understand probabilities and randomness, and even when understanding them, it still doesn’t feel right.

I’ve seen your comment thousands of times by people discussing why martingale works when playing roulette (no, it doesn’t since the probability of losing is greater of winning).

You’ve switched the original problem of losing once to losing 8 times in a row, yeah, the probability of losing 8 times in a row is low, but the probability of losing 7 times in a row and winning the 8th time is lower.

Let’s check probabilities:

7 loses and a losing again is 0.75^7 * 0.75 = 0.10

7 loses and wining the 8th is 0.75^7 * 0.25 = 0.03

Again, previous outcomes doesn’t condition the next outcome, yes, the probability of 8 consecutive loses is lower of 3 loses and a win, but 4 loses is more likely than 3 loses and a win. And 1000 loses seems like impossible, but still more probable than 999 loses and a win, because the probability of losing never changes.

I’m not sure if it counts as an AD but seems like an AD, many many moons ago (I think when Apple TV+ was introduced), they changed the “home screen” with the apps in your Apple TV to an Apple TV+ one with their content (and some linked from other platforms).

The apps view still exists but now the “home” button gets you to the Apple TV+ one unless you click it again from there (unless you accidentally scrolled a bit and the button) or double click it to open the menu with the recently opened apps.

https://youtu.be/PnxI76g07rs?si=mxZlQTBEiqOK14hs

There’s a lot of old bright orange mugs that if you take a Geiger counter (dosimeter) to it it’ll will go crazy when you get right up to contact.

This one? https://youtu.be/PVpP9gcnIcE?si=N0Bcbrg153orhdtW

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Radithor

And the company know pretty well the dangers, the men who worked with the material used protection against the radiation.

Maybe it's AI generated?

Have you ever seen an abandoned building in real life?

Luigi intensifies

In Spain we don’t ask for café negro (but reading the comments now I learned that in other spanish speaking countries do), we just ask for coffee (anything else is a modificator) or to remark that we just coffee without anything else we ask for a solo.

But I cannot speak for the whole country, it varies a lot from region to region the names for ordering coffee, maybe in some parts do in fact say café negro.