FlowVoid

joined 1 year ago
[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (3 children)

It's a pretty typical size for political polls.

A sample size of 1000 means that the results are very likely within 3% of the entire population.

If you instead survey 10,000 people, your results will very likely be within 1% of the entire population.

It's diminishing returns. For most pollsters, an extra 2% accuracy is not worth ten times the effort.

It's similar to coin flip math. Getting 6+ heads on 10 flips is not hard. Getting 60+ heads on 100 flips is way harder. Getting 600+ heads on 1000 flips? No way. In fact, even getting 530+ heads on 1000 flips is very unlikely

[–] [email protected] 5 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (3 children)

It's silly to judge a polling outfit solely on the politics of their CEO.

FWIW, 538 gave Harris a "B" grade with 83% accuracy in 2020. If anything, Harris seemed to overestimate Biden's support (eg they predicted Trump would lose FL and NC).

[–] [email protected] 9 points 1 year ago

That's how all reputable election polling was done in 2020. For example, if you take a random sample that happens to be 52% men and 48% women, it is completely appropriate to overweight the women's responses to match their actual percentage in the US, 50.5%.

In fact, in the 2020 election there was a bunch of Trump supporters who had the same doubts as you, and they would "unskew" polls with 52% men responding to give them 52% of the final weighting. Lo and behold, their "unskewed" polls showed Trump in the lead. But the proof of the method is in the election results...

[–] [email protected] 18 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

A sample size of 2090, as in this study, is large enough to bring the margin of error down to 2%.

Furthermore, there is no need to speculate about who they polled, because this information is available. Questioning the results of the poll is as unreasonable as 2020 Trump supporters questioning every poll that showed Biden with an advantage.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 1 year ago

Your phone was most likely made in China. And unlike Lemmy, that most likely means that some of your money was sent to China. But it still doesn't mean that using a phone demonstrates support of the CCP.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 1 year ago (2 children)

The options will continue to be available through registry keys.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 1 year ago

I put on my shirt from the top down.

But I put on my pants from the bottom up.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 1 year ago

So it's like Stellaris with New Horizons/ New Civilizations

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago

People keeping an eye on recent events at Reddit might be reconsidering that set price...

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 year ago (7 children)

Make a ton of money, or depending on how things go, lose a ton of money.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

"Immunity" was not the issue.

The issue was that nursing homes that get federal funds have to abide by certain special rules. What happens if they break those rules, does the government sanction them or can they be sued directly by the patient?

In some situations, the former is true (for example, you can't sue a restaurant that violates health codes, it's the government that acts to close them down). But in this case, the court decided on the latter.

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