Commiejones

But I stand by my comment about Putin being stupid. Calling it a police action without stating exact goals means he’s already lost the information war.

But he didn't do that. Putin said exactly what the SMO was supposed to do. Putin has some serious flaws but being stupid isn't one of them. Stop reading the NYT. "because x is stupid/incompetent/insane/evil" is the weakest analysis you can do. It is almost never true and just shows that you don't understand the situation. It's marvel movie level thinking.

The stated aims of the SMO are Defence of the Donbas separatist states, Demilitarization, Denazification, and forcing Ukraine to stay neutral. Since Ukraine and the west proved they are pathological liars Russia's game plan changed a little and now they have incorporated the break away states into Russia proper but the other goals have stayed the same.

Ukraine's army will eventually collapse. They can't stand up against Russia forever. They cant recruit soldiers fast enough, The west cant manufacture weapons fast enough and even if they could they wouldn't want to give them away to a failed state. When that happens all that remains is tearing down some nazi monuments and installing a puppet government.

Again the MIC and LNG exporters win is a short lived boost that will ultimately accelerate their own downfall. Their wins are at the cost of their allies. USA are cannibalizing Europe to prop themselves up. This is only a win if you don't look past the immediate future.

It’s the task of the workers in the West to dismantle NATO and Western Imperialism

Ok go do that. Let us know how it works out.

The US working class benefit too much from the empire to overthrow it. Material conditions must be further degraded to get popular support for revolution. The war is lowering material condition for the working class in the EU and USA.

It is also raising the prospects for the working class in the global south. BRICS+ is giving them more bargaining power. Many imperialist collaborator governments will likely resist the new prospects increasing chances of revolutions in the global south. For decades socialist revolutions were put down by western hegemony but with their capability eroded by the war and the rise of the Sino-Russian alliance the west no longer has carte blanche to meddle.

All this points to the war being a boon for socialists and furthering the path towards revolution in multiple nations. The longer it goes on the bigger the benefits.

It was a trap for Putin and because he is an idiot he fell for it.

You should read less NYT.

"Damned if you do damned if you don't" is not a "trap." Being lied to over and over is not a "trap." Putin was backed into a corner. He didn't want to fight but in the end it was either fight or let nazis and NATO live on Russia border and genocide Russian speaking civilians until they were ready to invade Russia itself.

If Putin is "an idiot" how did he manage to insulate Russia's entire economy from sanctions? He spent the whole time he was trying to avoid the fight also making contingencies for when the fight happened.

The war is hollowing out the EU. They have lost access to cheap Russian energy and so their manufacturing capability is being gutted. All they have left is their Financial capital and without industry to back it up it will disappear before they can rectify their energy situation. European companies are already moving to China.

While the MIC is gaining short term profits from the war overall it will be a major loss. Furthermore the war has shown the global south the need for an alternative to $US. BRICS+ will be direct competition for american dollar hegemony destroying its value. Any $ gains the MIC makes it will have to pay back ten fold to the global south who they traditionary exploited for raw materials. The global south will have alternative buyers that will give them fairer prices in $ which will cause $ to lose more value. On top of all that it has shown how flawed NATO weapon systems really are, how they fare against much cheaper weapons from Russia, and how slowly they are produced. Any nation looking at purchasing weapons supplies is going to consider Russia because they are better value for money by factors of 2 digits and they wont have decades long wait lists.

The material reality of things on the ground in the war and in economies of the nations involved is completely contrary to your post.

This has been my take lately as well. If peace happens on any terms other than USA realizing it has lost it's hegemony the killing will just move somewhere else. If the war is able to continue until its conclusion It quite likely will mean an end to American imperialist wars which have killed tens of millions since WW2. That this war has also gotten BRICS+ out of the thinking stage and into action means that further millions will be saved by ending USA's ability to unilaterally sanction whomever it chooses.

There a link for this on Al Jazeera's website? Would be great to post from the horses mouth.