Yeah you already have 2 down votes on a 5 day old post. Bizarre.
ClarkZuckerberg
joined 1 year ago
The general consensus is that yes, Barbenheimer is what's hurting MI, since it had a great cinemascore and great reviews.
Very confused why this was downvoted lol.
Yes. Mostly because it's budget is reported to be $150 million. It's possible it ends below $100 million worldwide at the box office. That's awful, as you can imagine.
Basically how my spreadsheet works is it takes the dailies a movie has already made (so 15 days in this case), then extrapolates using the daily drops from the future days onward (so from day 16 onward in this case) of the movies on the left side to get a guesstimate domestic total. Then I use the current dom/int split to guess the WW total. It's not perfect, but just fun to throw in some comp links into my spreadsheet and it does it all. The graphic is the part that takes a while to make lol.
Big mistake I just realized on this graphic, but does not effect the projected numbers, but MI has made $126M after 15 days not $82M. I believe that $82M was a carry-over from a graphic I duplicated as this basis for this graphic. Apologies.
The projected numbers are still correct as the spreadsheet does all the numbers itself. The graphic is where human error comes in lol.
Basically how my spreadsheet works is it takes the dailies a movie has already made (so 15 days in this case), then extrapolates using the daily drops from the future days onward (so from day 16 onward in this case) of the movies on the left side to get a guesstimate domestic total. Then I use the current dom/int split to guess the WW total. It's not perfect, but just fun to throw in some comp links into my spreadsheet and it does it all. The graphic is the part that takes a while to make lol.
It means that's how much a movie has made domestically compared to it's domestic opening weekend. The bigger the multiplier, the better "legs" a movie has, and generally means audiences really liked it but didn't necessarily rush out to see it (really depends on the movie). Basically it means that it continued to make a good amount of money for a long time.
So if you take Ant-Man Quantumania's domestic total which is $214,504,909, and divide it by it's opening weekend $106,109,650, you get 2.021 which rounded down is 2x. I hope this helps :)
I think it'll be about $260m. Just a guess, but that's between 3-4x which is pretty normal for Nolan. So I'd put money down on between Little Mermaid and Ant-Man 3.
Thanks! I'm not the greatest at analysis, but I enjoy making box office graphics.
Elemental is actually doing well, relative to where it opened. Weekend 5 doing just behind Indy's 3rd weekend? Not too bad. They both wouldn't be horror show stories if they didn't have their huge budgets unfortunately.
Got another idea for a graphic so thought I'd post it. I plan to make a worldwide one soon as well. I'll probably update and add a new one every so often. Probably as often as once a week, but likely more like every other week or once a month. Depends how often here people want an update on that info in a clean graphic. So let me know.
If you like this format, let me know :) Feedback is more than welcome.
The movie itself is not Qanon, but the lead star is vocally Qanon. It's also glorifying a real person who is outspokenly Qanon, and the events of the film aren't really close to reality, as far as anyone can tell.
That being said, I personally don't have a problem with the film itself, it just didn't interest me.