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AFC West Playoff Scenarios for Week 15 (self.kansascitychiefs)

submitted 1 year ago by thru_dangers_untold to c/kansascitychiefs

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via: https://nflplayoffscenarios.com/

If KC wins out the worst possible seed is: 3

LV is knocked out of AFC West title contention with:

LV loss + KC win/tie OR
LV loss + DEN win OR
LV tie + KC win

LV is eliminated from playoff contention with:

LV loss + KC win/tie + An absurd set of permutations OR
LV loss + DEN win + An absurd set of permuations

LAC is knocked out of AFC West title contention with:

LAC loss + KC win/tie OR
LAC loss + DEN win OR
LAC tie + KC win

LAC is eliminated from playoff contention with:

LAC loss + KC win/tie + An absurd set of permutations OR
LAC loss + DENDEN win + An absurd set of permuations

Results from 1 million simulations with home win/away win/tie all equally likely:

Team	1 seed	2 seed	3 seed	4 seed	5 seed	6 seed	7 seed	Miss Playoffs
KC	3%	19%	31%	29%	2%	3%	4%	9%
DEN	<1%	1%	5%	11%	4%	8%	11%	60%
LAC	0%	<1%	<1%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	99%
LV	0%	<1%	<1%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	99%

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Team	1 seed	2 seed	3 seed	4 seed	5 seed	6 seed	7 seed	Miss Playoffs
KC	3%	19%	31%	29%	2%	3%	4%	9%
DEN	<1%	1%	5%	11%	4%	8%	11%	60%
LAC	0%	<1%	<1%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	99%
LV	0%	<1%	<1%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	99%

Team	1 seed	2 seed	3 seed	4 seed	5 seed	6 seed	7 seed	Miss Playoffs
KC	3%	19%	31%	29%	2%	3%	4%	9%
DEN	<1%	1%	5%	11%	4%	8%	11%	60%
LAC	0%	<1%	<1%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	99%
LV	0%	<1%	<1%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	99%

Team	1 seed	2 seed	3 seed	4 seed	5 seed	6 seed	7 seed	Miss Playoffs
KC	3%	19%	31%	29%	2%	3%	4%	9%
DEN	<1%	1%	5%	11%	4%	8%	11%	60%
LAC	0%	<1%	<1%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	99%
LV	0%	<1%	<1%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	99%