this post was submitted on 01 Jul 2023
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The buzz around this is crazy. 80M is lowballing imo.

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[–] tron 5 points 1 year ago (1 children)

I completely agree 80m is lowballing. Looking at how well the Super Mario movie did, I could see Barbie opening a lot higher. Oppenheimer looks fantastic for sure, but I think most audiences aren't going out for a 3 hour historical biopic, even if it Christopher Nolan. Every other movie is bombing right now. The schedule looks like these 2 are the only thing worth a damn for 2 solid weeks until TMNT August 2. Everything is working in Barbies favor to be a mega hit, now it just has to be good.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 1 year ago (1 children)

SMBM made 150M in it’s 3 day weekend lol, that’s setting the bar a bit too high imo. I’d be very satisfied with anything above 80M, but my personal guess is 95. Oppenheimer has a bit of buzz and should end up profitable if Nolan kept his budget in a smart range. But yeah, the length and target audience are not a good fit for the current state of the box office.

[–] tron 3 points 1 year ago

Oh yeah for sure its not doing $150m. I'm just saying that Super Mario and Barbie are both extremely popular 80s and 90s IP and that I think the market is ripe for these kinds of remakes or reboots to really over perform. 100m opening, book it.

[–] Korne127 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Damn, I really wouldn't have thought that Oppenheimer got so much less in comparison, to be honest, less at all…

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Nolan’s films have always been a bit niche(Batman excepted). Regular people don’t go to the movies to feel conflicted or depressed. Barbie seems to be more targeted towards a general audience, it’s more positive(at least on the surface), features actors and IP people recognize, and seems to have tapped into the zeitgeist. Regardless, 40M opening weekend is still pretty good. So don’t think of it as a competition, think of it as two auteur films succeeding, which is awesome for all fans of theaters!

[–] Korne127 1 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

Nolan’s films have always been a bit niche

What? I genuinely really can't relate. I mean, for me personally Nolan is what cinema is supposed to be like, it's epicness, the grandness, etc. But he's highly successful, just look at Inception, Interstellar, Batman, and also Dunkirk and Memento to a lesser degree. Like I would say he's one of the most mainstream / successful movie people.